Wed, Nov 21, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 111 | 27 | 328 |
| ANA | 110 | 114 | 213 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:13ANARyan GetzlafUnassisted · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 4:15VANDerrick PouliotAssists: Sam Gagner, Bo Horvat · Snap, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 7:14ANAOndrej KasePPAssists: Josh Mahura, Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 7:09ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Brandon Montour, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 8:07VANNikolay GoldobinAssists: Jake Virtanen · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 10:53ANAKalle KossilaGWGAssists: Brian Gibbons, Nick Ritchie · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 15:16VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Nikolay Goldobin, Ben Hutton · Tip-in, 0.15 xG3–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:48VANElias Pettersson: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:33VANTroy Stecher: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 8:50ANARyan Getzlaf: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:10VANLoui Eriksson: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:02VANDerrick Pouliot: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 14:36ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Motte – Horvat8:47
xG 0.47–0.15 (76%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Virtanen – Goldobin – Pettersson2:41
xG 0.12–0.02 (86%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Archibald – Schaller – Gaudette2:09
xG 0.05–0.06 (41%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Roussel – Granlund – Virtanen7:04
xG 0.49–0.63 (44%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Stecher15:35
xG 0.78–0.30 (73%)attempts 22–13goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton12:15
xG 0.52–0.53 (49%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Tanev – Pouliot14:34
xG 0.34–1.24 (22%)attempts 10–16goals 1–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGibbons – Ritchie – Kossila6:53
xG 0.48–0.12 (80%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Aberg10:31
xG 0.45–0.16 (73%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Kase11:40
xG 0.65–0.72 (47%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
- Kesler – Cogliano – Sherwood9:41
xG 0.65–0.74 (47%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWelinski – Pettersson9:18
xG 0.91–0.19 (83%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Manson – Larsson16:50
xG 0.58–0.37 (61%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Welinski – Montour2:15
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).