Fri, Nov 23, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New York Rangers 0, Philadelphia Flyers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 08 | 014 | 09 | 031 |
| PHI | 115 | 018 | 313 | 446 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:21PHITravis KonecnyGWGAssists: Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P3 14:39PHISean CouturierAssists: Travis Konecny, Claude Giroux · Snap, 0.15 xG0–2
- P3 17:58PHIJordan WealENAssists: Wayne Simmonds · Wrist, 0.63 xG0–3
- P3 18:23PHISean CouturierAssists: Travis Konecny, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–4
Penalties (6)
- P2 5:13PHIOskar Lindblom: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:52NYRRyan Strome: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:52PHITravis Konecny: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:41NYRMarc Staal: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:04PHIDale Weise: Holding2 min
- P3 14:54PHIRobert Hagg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Patrick won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFogarty – Vesey – Andersson5:57
xG 0.59–0.23 (72%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kreider – Hayes – Chytil10:46
xG 0.77–0.44 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Fogarty – Andersson2:56
xG 0.01–0.06 (20%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Zuccarello – Fast – Zibanejad5:48
xG 0.28–0.48 (37%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Staal – Pionk13:46
xG 1.19–1.70 (41%)attempts 14–25goals 0–1
- Shattenkirk – Claesson16:42
xG 0.33–1.29 (21%)attempts 12–20goals 0–0
- Skjei – DeAngelo14:51
xG 0.31–1.51 (17%)attempts 13–21goals 0–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Simmonds – Weal12:46
xG 1.34–0.44 (75%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Voracek – Weise – Patrick11:45
xG 1.26–0.51 (71%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny11:37
xG 1.32–0.72 (65%)attempts 25–10goals 3–0
- Laughton – Goulbourne – Lindblom5:20
xG 0.08–0.19 (29%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Sanheim15:15
xG 2.73–0.57 (83%)attempts 32–12goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Folin15:43
xG 1.12–0.10 (92%)attempts 22–7goals 0–0
- Hagg – Provorov14:48
xG 0.64–1.09 (37%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).