Fri, Nov 23, 2018·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 0, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 08 | 03 | 019 |
| SJS | 212 | 05 | 27 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:54SJSLogan CouturePPGWGAssists: Erik Karlsson, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 19:50SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Brent Burns · Deflected, 0.50 xG0–2
- P3 3:43SJSErik KarlssonPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Kevin Labanc · Snap, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 9:35SJSMelker KarlssonAssists: Erik Karlsson, Brenden Dillon · Deflected, 0.06 xG0–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:12VANAntoine Roussel: Elbowing2 min
- P1 10:48VANAntoine Roussel: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P1 16:04VANDerrick Pouliot: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 2:16SJSBrenden Dillon: Holding2 min
- P2 12:07SJSEvander Kane: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:00SJSLukas Radil: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:54VANSam Gagner: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P3 19:20SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:20VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:20VANAntoine Roussel: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:20VANAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kane won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Schaller – Horvat3:30
xG 0.63–0.16 (80%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Granlund – Motte – Virtanen2:21
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Goldobin – Pettersson8:51
xG 0.09–0.11 (44%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Roussel – Granlund – Motte4:09
xG 0.01–0.07 (13%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPouliot – Stecher12:59
xG 0.58–0.38 (61%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Tanev14:35
xG 0.23–0.37 (38%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton15:45
xG 0.53–0.97 (35%)attempts 10–18goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGoodrow – Karlsson – Radil8:54
xG 0.52–0.47 (53%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Pavelski – Kane – Donskoi11:30
xG 0.31–0.31 (49%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Couture – Hertl – Meier9:22
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc9:35
xG 0.38–0.64 (37%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Heed6:19
xG 0.60–0.08 (89%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon2:40
xG 0.12–0.09 (57%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Burns – Karlsson3:44
xG 0.02–0.18 (8%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).