Sat, Nov 24, 2018·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 3, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 214 | 012 | 19 | 335 |
| MTL | 012 | 09 | 212 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:01BOSDavid BackesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 14:42BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Torey Krug, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P3 6:46MTLJonathan DrouinAssists: Karl Alzner, Victor Mete · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 10:09MTLTomas TatarPPAssists: Andrew Shaw, Kenny Agostino · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 17:03BOSJohn MoorePPGWGAssists: David Backes, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 8:26MTLAndrew Shaw: Elbowing2 min
- P1 9:16BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P1 14:26MTLJonathan Drouin: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:26BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:28BOSNoel Acciari: High sticking2 min
- P1 0:00BOSKevan Miller: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00MTLBrendan Gallagher: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:11MTLMax Domi: Interference2 min
- P2 15:30MTLJeff Petry: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:15BOSTorey Krug: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:51MTLJeff Petry: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:36BOSDavid Krejci: Holding2 min
- P3 8:15BOSDavid Pastrnak: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:39MTLJonathan Drouin: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Domi won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Heinen – DeBrusk9:04
xG 0.56–0.33 (63%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Backes – Wagner – Kuraly7:56
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Nordstrom – Cave – Acciari5:03
xG 0.20–0.23 (46%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Marchand – Pastrnak – Forsbacka Karlsson8:24
xG 0.46–0.67 (41%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk7:06
xG 0.50–0.21 (71%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Krug – Clifton5:39
xG 0.24–0.09 (73%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Miller – Lauzon3:27
xG 0.11–0.11 (52%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Chaput – Agostino7:10
xG 0.41–0.19 (68%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Shaw – Drouin – Domi9:03
xG 0.62–0.57 (52%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Hudon – Lehkonen – Kotkaniemi5:35
xG 0.30–0.27 (53%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Tatar – Gallagher – Danault7:21
xG 0.22–0.37 (37%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Kulak11:29
xG 0.99–0.70 (59%)attempts 21–16goals 0–0
- Alzner – Mete11:18
xG 0.37–0.39 (48%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Petry – Benn10:22
xG 0.44–0.52 (45%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).