Sat, Nov 24, 2018·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Chicago Blackhawks 5, Florida Panthers 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 210 | 218 | 14 | 541 |
| FLA | 216 | 218 | 04 | 00 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:48FLAMike HoffmanPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 13:40FLAJared McCannAssists: Colton Sceviour, Bogdan Kiselevich · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 0:49CHIDavid KampfAssists: Dominik Kahun, Gustav Forsling · Slap, 0.22 xG1–2
- P2 5:34CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Brandon Saad, Gustav Forsling · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 8:08FLAAaron EkbladAssists: Mike Hoffman, Evgenii Dadonov · Slap, 0.07 xG2–3
- P2 11:30FLAFrank VatranoAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Nick Bjugstad · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 9:52CHIAlexandre FortinSHUnassisted · Slap, 0.39 xG3–4
- P3 19:58CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Brandon Saad, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.31 xG4–4
- OT 2:32CHIErik GustafssonGWGAssists: Nick Schmaltz, David Kampf · Snap, 0.01 xG5–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:12CHIBrandon Manning: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 6:58FLATroy Brouwer: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:58CHIBrandon Manning: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:55FLAFrank Vatrano: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 17:26CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:06FLABogdan Kiselevich: Interference2 min
- P3 8:11CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSchmaltz – Kampf – Kahun9:13
xG 0.53–0.18 (75%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Toews – Saad – Hayden3:29
xG 0.37–0.16 (70%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – DeBrincat5:07
xG 0.14–0.19 (44%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Hayden – DeBrincat6:11
xG 0.00–0.37 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Jokiharju4:11
xG 0.28–0.05 (84%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Keith – Forsling10:49
xG 0.40–0.48 (45%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook2:30
xG 0.24–0.39 (39%)attempts 2–6goals 1–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestSceviour – Haley – Lammikko7:50
xG 0.94–0.08 (92%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Huberdeau – Vatrano10:03
xG 0.74–0.15 (83%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Hoffman – Barkov12:56
xG 1.00–0.48 (67%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Sceviour – McCann – Hunt2:00
xG 0.15–0.02 (90%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Kiselevich14:48
xG 1.33–0.32 (81%)attempts 23–9goals 0–0
- Matheson – Ekblad15:49
xG 1.03–0.65 (61%)attempts 14–13goals 1–2
- Yandle – Pysyk15:14
xG 1.02–0.73 (58%)attempts 14–14goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).