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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 27, 2018·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 64% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:13Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:14Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Barberio, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 5:53Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 6:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 11:07Goal by Hartman (Irwin, Jarnkrok)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Hartman · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Andrighetto, Compher, Girard

  9. P1 12:00Ekholm: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala · COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  10. P1 12:32Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  11. P1 13:10Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Girard)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Weber, Jarnkrok · COL Wilson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  12. P1 13:33Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 15:34Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 15:35Andrighetto: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki, Gaudreau · COL Johnson, Bourque, Compher, Rantanen, Girard

  15. P1 15:30Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 15:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov5v4
  17. P1 17:41Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 18:13Shot by Cole, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 19:51Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 1:29Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  24. P2 3:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 3:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 3:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 4:39Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 5:42Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 6:22Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Girard)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Hartman · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  30. P2 6:51Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 7:21Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 9:06Goal by Fiala (Forsberg, Josi)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala · COL Wilson, Barberio, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Jost

  33. P2 10:00Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 10:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 11:13Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 11:47Shot by Zadorov, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 12:48Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 12:48Nemeth: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Grimaldi, Salomaki · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Barberio, Nemeth, Nieto

  39. P2 13:34Shot by Calvert, saved by Rinne5v4
  40. P2 14:51Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 17:20Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 19:14Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 0:00Compher: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala · COL Johnson, Calvert, Andrighetto, Compher, Girard

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:54Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov5v4
  47. P3 2:18Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  48. P3 3:22Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 3:27Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 3:27Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 3:27Salomaki: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Irwin, Grimaldi, Salomaki, Gaudreau · COL Wilson, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost, Girard

  52. P3 4:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne4v5
  53. P3 4:58Shot by Jost, saved by Rinne4v5
  54. P3 5:07Goal by Jost (Compher, Soderberg)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Watson · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, Jost

  55. P3 6:07Shot by Hartman, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 7:00Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 7:10Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 7:19Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 7:26Shot by Hartman, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 7:30Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 7:39Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 8:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 9:12Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 9:22Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 11:14Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 11:30Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 13:34Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 14:07Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 14:06Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 14:12Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 14:52Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 14:53Shot by Calvert, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 19:09Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final6v5