Tue, Dec 4, 2018·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Boston Bruins 0, Florida Panthers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 016 | 010 | 033 |
| FLA | 013 | 420 | 111 | 544 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:21FLAMike HoffmanGWGAssists: Colton Sceviour, Jonathan Huberdeau · Tip-in, 0.22 xG0–1
- P2 13:13FLAMike MathesonUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 15:14FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Keith Yandle, Aleksander Barkov · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 19:55FLAMike HoffmanPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Keith Yandle · Slap, 0.11 xG0–4
- P3 14:26FLAEvgenii DadonovPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau · Wrist, 0.40 xG0–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 15:34BOSJoakim Nordstrom: Holding2 min
- P1 17:41FLAMark Pysyk: Interference2 min
- P2 5:30FLAJared McCann: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:04FLAMicheal Haley: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:20BOSDavid Pastrnak: Holding2 min
- P2 17:51FLADryden Hunt: Interference2 min
- P2 17:51BOSDavid Pastrnak: Embellishment2 min
- P2 19:00BOSJake DeBrusk: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:20FLANick Bjugstad: Holding2 min
- P3 9:10BOSJohn Moore: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:49BOSChris Wagner: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:02BOSBrandon Carlo: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cave won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Wagner – Kuraly9:17
xG 0.46–0.23 (66%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Marchand – Pastrnak6:35
xG 0.49–0.41 (54%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Krejci – Donato – DeBrusk3:20
xG 0.05–0.10 (34%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Cave – Donato – DeBrusk5:06
xG 0.36–0.42 (46%)attempts 8–5goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Clifton3:15
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Moore – Grzelcyk2:43
xG 0.17–0.07 (71%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Moore – Krug7:26
xG 0.23–0.29 (44%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov8:46
xG 0.62–0.26 (70%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Dadonov – McCann – Vatrano7:24
xG 0.22–0.23 (48%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Brouwer – Sceviour – Haley8:36
xG 0.22–0.24 (48%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Lammikko – Hunt7:12
xG 0.20–0.38 (35%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPysyk – Matheson12:22
xG 0.87–0.42 (67%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Yandle – Ekblad9:49
xG 0.94–0.55 (63%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Weegar – Kiselevich18:03
xG 0.36–0.68 (34%)attempts 10–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).