Thu, Dec 6, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
New Jersey Devils 6, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 111 | 316 | 28 | 635 |
| LAK | 111 | 213 | 08 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:49NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Will Butcher · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 15:41LAKBrendan LeipsicAssists: Jake Muzzin, Alec Martinez · Snap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 0:25NJDTravis ZajacUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 6:59LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Drew Doughty, Austin Wagner · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 10:57NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 12:28NJDWill ButcherGWGAssists: Miles Wood, Travis Zajac · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–2
- P2 17:37LAKKyle CliffordUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 11:06NJDNico HischierAssists: Sami Vatanen, Taylor Hall · Tip-in, 0.09 xG5–3
- P3 19:52NJDBlake ColemanENAssists: Andy Greene, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.43 xG6–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:49NJDMiles Wood: Slashing2 min
- P1 5:49LAKJonathan Quick: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 12:01LAKDion Phaneuf: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:11NJDNico Hischier: Embellishment2 min
- P2 14:11LAKDrew Doughty: Holding2 min
- P2 18:36LAKJeff Carter: Interference2 min
- P3 7:52NJDTaylor Hall: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Wood10:55
xG 1.10–0.83 (57%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Boyle – Noesen – Seney6:05
xG 0.01–0.08 (11%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Johansson – Zacha – Bratt11:00
xG 0.25–0.38 (40%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier10:49
xG 0.34–0.47 (42%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestVatanen – Butcher8:01
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 12–3goals 1–1
- Lovejoy – Butcher3:45
xG 0.22–0.09 (72%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Greene – Severson16:06
xG 1.13–1.15 (50%)attempts 16–21goals 2–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestThompson – Clifford – Amadio6:33
xG 0.45–0.12 (78%)attempts 14–3goals 1–1
- Toffoli – Kempe – Wagner9:46
xG 0.35–0.30 (53%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Carter – Leipsic – Luff9:52
xG 0.24–0.28 (47%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo13:30
xG 0.36–0.91 (29%)attempts 9–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Martinez13:50
xG 0.83–0.21 (80%)attempts 16–11goals 2–1
- Phaneuf – Fantenberg11:17
xG 0.30–0.28 (52%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Doughty – Forbort18:31
xG 0.55–1.28 (30%)attempts 16–19goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).