Sat, Dec 8, 2018·BB&T Center, Sunrise
New York Rangers 5, Florida Panthers 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 212 | 15 | 15 | 04 | 3 | 526 |
| FLA | 07 | 313 | 18 | 03 | 1 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:37NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Kevin Hayes · Snap, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 18:10NYRVladislav NamestnikovSHAssists: Kevin Hayes, Fredrik Claesson · Snap, 0.39 xG2–0
- P2 0:57FLAKeith YandlePPAssists: Mike Hoffman, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 4:14FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 6:28NYRMatt BeleskeyAssists: Brady Skjei, Tony DeAngelo · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 18:20FLAAaron EkbladAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Evgenii Dadonov · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–3
- P3 1:32NYRFredrik ClaessonUnassisted · Slap, 0.02 xG4–3
- P3 10:51FLAAleksander BarkovPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Mike Hoffman · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NYR Mika Zibanejad scored
- 2. FLA Aleksander Barkov stopped
- 3. NYR Kevin Shattenkirk scored
- 4. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau scored
- 5. NYR Kevin Hayes scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:58NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min
- P1 10:37FLAFrank Vatrano: Interference2 min
- P1 16:19NYRJesper Fast: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:11NYRMarc Staal: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 9:27NYRMika Zibanejad: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBeleskey – Fogarty – Andersson5:45
xG 0.25–0.07 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Kreider – Hayes – Zibanejad13:34
xG 0.15–0.19 (44%)attempts 7–5goals 0–2
- Strome – Vesey – Chytil13:21
xG 0.16–0.28 (37%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Fast – Namestnikov – Howden10:51
xG 0.16–0.42 (27%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Pionk17:55
xG 1.01–0.14 (88%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Claesson15:17
xG 0.15–0.33 (31%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Skjei – DeAngelo13:48
xG 0.29–0.65 (31%)attempts 10–12goals 1–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestLammikko – Hunt – Vatrano8:05
xG 0.40–0.08 (84%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Dadonov – McCann – Vatrano3:01
xG 0.14–0.03 (80%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov12:12
xG 0.28–0.19 (60%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov4:02
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Kiselevich12:44
xG 0.47–0.27 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Pysyk – Matheson16:24
xG 0.23–0.15 (61%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Yandle – Ekblad19:19
xG 0.35–0.45 (44%)attempts 13–13goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).