Sat, Dec 8, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Washington Capitals 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 313 | 08 | 17 | 428 |
| CBJ | 09 | 08 | 011 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:42WSHBrett ConnollyGWGAssists: Jakub Vrana, Evgeny Kuznetsov · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 10:19WSHDmitrij JaskinAssists: Travis Boyd, Dmitry Orlov · Deflected, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 19:41WSHAlex OvechkinAssists: Michal Kempny, John Carlson · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–0
- P3 11:04WSHTravis BoydAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Nic Dowd · Wrist, 0.15 xG4–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:43CBJCam Atkinson: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:10CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:32CBJBoone Jenner: Delaying game2 min
- P2 18:07WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:44WSHDmitry Orlov: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:24WSHAndre Burakovsky: Holding2 min
- P3 17:32WSHAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuznetsov won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOvechkin – Backstrom – Burakovsky11:36
xG 0.62–0.18 (77%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Dowd – Boyd – Jaskin8:00
xG 0.51–0.09 (86%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Eller – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson9:46
xG 0.31–0.12 (73%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Kuznetsov – Connolly – Vrana10:35
xG 0.35–0.34 (51%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlson – Kempny11:53
xG 0.77–0.12 (87%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Carlson – Orlov2:24
xG 0.19–0.02 (92%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bowey – Siegenthaler12:05
xG 0.19–0.12 (61%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestJenner – Anderson – Duclair2:47
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson4:54
xG 0.09–0.06 (59%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Nash – Bjorkstrand – Hannikainen3:16
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Dubois3:40
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Savard – Nutivaara12:18
xG 0.14–0.12 (54%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski3:16
xG 0.04–0.23 (16%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Murray – Jones13:18
xG 0.12–0.54 (19%)attempts 9–16goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).