Sun, Dec 9, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
New Jersey Devils 5, Anaheim Ducks 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 315 | 110 | 19 | 01 | 0 | 535 |
| ANA | 313 | 010 | 29 | 06 | 2 | 638 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:38NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Egor Yakovlev · Tip-in, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 2:12ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Josh Manson, Andrew Cogliano · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 2:47ANAKiefer SherwoodAssists: Carter Rowney, Brandon Montour · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P1 10:49NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.09 xG2–2
- P1 13:08NJDDamon SeversonPPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.13 xG3–2
- P1 13:39ANABrandon MontourAssists: Ondrej Kase, Ryan Getzlaf · Snap, 0.10 xG3–3
- P2 9:00NJDBrett SeneyAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–3
- P3 8:35ANAPontus AbergAssists: Ondrej Kase, Ryan Getzlaf · Backhand, 0.01 xG4–4
- P3 13:58ANAOndrej KaseUnassisted · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–5
- P3 19:02NJDMarcus JohanssonAssists: Nico Hischier, Brian Boyle · Wrist, 0.34 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. ANA Pontus Aberg stopped
- 2. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 3. ANA Daniel Sprong scored
- 4. NJD Taylor Hall stopped
- 5. ANA Ryan Getzlaf scored
Penalties (4)
- P1 11:46ANABrandon Montour: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:35ANAJacob Larsson: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 14:55ANAHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:51NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Coleman – Wood – Zacha2:44
xG 0.09–0.06 (60%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier13:26
xG 0.37–0.40 (48%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Zajac – Coleman – Wood11:53
xG 0.48–0.53 (48%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Johansson – Zacha – Bratt7:59
xG 0.13–0.48 (21%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Lovejoy – Yakovlev10:55
xG 0.50–0.55 (47%)attempts 13–10goals 1–2
- Greene – Severson16:17
xG 0.37–0.49 (43%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
- Vatanen – Butcher18:33
xG 0.81–1.03 (44%)attempts 16–22goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg12:04
xG 0.52–0.34 (60%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Henrique – Ritchie – Sprong13:05
xG 0.64–0.46 (58%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Aberg – Kase12:24
xG 0.50–0.41 (55%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Gibbons – Rowney – Sherwood7:02
xG 0.38–0.51 (43%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Montour17:28
xG 1.04–0.41 (72%)attempts 21–12goals 1–0
- Manson – Mahura4:07
xG 0.23–0.14 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Manson – Larsson13:24
xG 0.37–0.34 (52%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).