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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 9, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Dallas Stars 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 69% of the time.

VGK winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Polak, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 5:57Marchessault: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · DAL Comeau, Hanzal, Lindell, Dickinson, Heiskanen

  5. P1 6:19Shot by Shore, saved by Fleury4v5
  6. P1 6:29Goal by Hanzal (Heiskanen, Lindell)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson · DAL Spezza, Hanzal, Pitlick, Lindell, Heiskanen

  7. P1 9:16Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 9:40Shot by Engelland, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 9:44Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 10:12Hanzal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Eakin, Miller, Tuch · DAL Comeau, Polak, Hanzal, Dickinson, Bayreuther

  11. P1 10:23Shot by Faksa, saved by Fleury5v4
  12. P1 10:38Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop5v4
  13. P1 14:19Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 16:12Goal by Carpenter (Lindberg, McNabb)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Lindberg, Schmidt, Carpenter, Nosek · DAL Radulov, Seguin, Dickinson, Bayreuther, Heiskanen

  15. P1 17:52Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 17:56Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 18:57Shot by Dickinson, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 19:22Shot by Carrier, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 19:48Shot by Schmidt, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:34Shot by Radulov, saved by Fleury
  23. P2 4:32Shot by Marchessault, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 4:45Shot by Marchessault, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 4:50Shot by Carrier, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 5:35Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury
  27. P2 7:04Shot by Marchessault, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 7:32Shot by Pitlick, saved by Fleury
  29. P2 8:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 9:00Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 9:45Hanzal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Lindberg, Schmidt, Bellemare · DAL Hanzal, Benn, Seguin, Fedun, Hanley

  32. P2 10:01Shot by Lindell, saved by Fleury5v4
  33. P2 11:16Shot by Schmidt, saved by Bishop5v4
  34. P2 11:48Goal by Karlsson (Schmidt, Theodore)+24 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Eakin, Karlsson, Schmidt, Theodore · DAL Polak, Hanzal, Benn, Seguin, Lindell

  35. P2 12:49Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 13:30Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 15:13Shot by Tuch, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 16:08Ritchie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Eakin, Miller, Tuch · DAL Hanzal, Ritchie, Lindell, Shore, Heiskanen

  39. P2 16:18Shot by Reaves, saved by Bishop5v4
  40. P2 16:17Shot by Reaves, saved by Bishop5v4
  41. P2 16:23Shot by Pitlick, saved by Fleury5v4
  42. P2 17:31Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop5v4
  43. P2 18:17Goal by Tuch (Pacioretty, Miller)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Smith, Miller, Marchessault, Tuch · DAL Pitlick, Fedun, Ritchie, Faksa, Heiskanen

  44. P2 18:51Shot by Comeau, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 2:05Shot by Ritchie, saved by Fleury
  48. P3 2:54Shot by Hanzal, saved by Fleury
  49. P3 3:05Shot by Hanzal, saved by Fleury
  50. P3 3:34Shot by Eakin, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 4:04Shot by Faksa, saved by Fleury
  52. P3 6:43McNabb: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Pacioretty, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare · DAL Radulov, Polak, Benn, Seguin, Hanley

  53. P3 8:33Goal by Lindell (Spezza, Heiskanen)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Holden, Eakin, Miller, Carpenter · DAL Spezza, Hanzal, Pitlick, Lindell, Heiskanen

  54. P3 9:54Shot by Shore, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 10:10Ritchie: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Holden, Smith, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, Tuch · DAL Polak, Benn, Ritchie, Faksa, Bayreuther

  56. P3 11:58Shot by Schmidt, saved by Bishop5v4
  57. P3 12:16Theodore: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Eakin, Lindberg, Schmidt, Theodore · DAL Seguin, Fedun, Ritchie, Faksa, Lindell

  58. P3 12:31Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury4v5
  59. P3 13:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Fleury4v5
  60. P3 13:32Shot by Hanzal, saved by Fleury4v5
  61. P3 17:03Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 18:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 18:53Pitlick: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Bayreuther, Heiskanen

  64. P3 19:32Goal by Smith (Miller)+1 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, Schmidt · DAL Spezza, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Heiskanen

  65. P3 19:45Shot by Engelland, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final