Sun, Dec 16, 2018·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 7, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 28 | 314 | 221 | 743 |
| CHI | 35 | 08 | 07 | 320 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:34CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 3:21CHIDylan StromeAssists: Connor Murphy, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–2
- P1 9:58SJSMelker KarlssonAssists: Lukas Radil, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P1 10:40SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Joe Thornton, Kevin Labanc · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- P1 12:54CHIBrendan PerliniAssists: Dylan Sikura, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–3
- P2 4:21SJSEvander KanePPAssists: Brent Burns, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–3
- P2 7:36SJSBarclay GoodrowGWGAssists: Justin Braun, Melker Karlsson · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–3
- P2 16:16SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Brenden Dillon, Evander Kane · Tip-in, 0.12 xG5–3
- P3 13:03SJSKevin LabancPPAssists: Brent Burns, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.09 xG6–3
- P3 18:27SJSTomas HertlAssists: Logan Couture, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.25 xG7–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 13:53SJSBrenden Dillon: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:30CHIDylan Strome: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:30SJSEvander Kane: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 19:14SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:48CHIDavid Kampf: Broken stick2 min · PPG
- P2 8:33SJSEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:13SJSKevin Labanc: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:27CHIPatrick Kane: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGoodrow – Karlsson – Radil9:04
xG 0.60–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–2goals 2–0
- Couture – Hertl – Meier9:36
xG 0.63–0.06 (92%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc8:51
xG 0.59–0.51 (53%)attempts 12–6goals 1–1
- Pavelski – Kane – Donskoi12:07
xG 0.27–0.70 (28%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun14:12
xG 1.36–0.43 (76%)attempts 20–10goals 2–1
- Karlsson – Dillon14:00
xG 1.03–0.33 (76%)attempts 17–7goals 2–0
- Burns – Simek12:06
xG 0.24–0.53 (31%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestPerlini – Sikura – Kampf9:45
xG 0.60–0.33 (65%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
- Toews – Saad – Kahun8:44
xG 0.28–0.41 (40%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat14:39
xG 0.49–0.88 (36%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
- Kruger – Hayden – Martinsen7:21
xG 0.07–0.73 (9%)attempts 1–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Keith – Murphy2:30
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Gustafsson8:57
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 5–10goals 1–2
- Seabrook – Dahlstrom2:38
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).