Mon, Dec 17, 2018·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 4, Montréal Canadiens 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 113 | 113 | 29 | 435 |
| MTL | 05 | 08 | 09 | 022 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:21BOSJoakim NordstromGWGAssists: David Backes, Colby Cave · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 19:34BOSColby CaveAssists: Charlie McAvoy, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–0
- P3 0:46BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–0
- P3 5:06BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:56BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:32BOSNoel Acciari: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 16:56MTLPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:29MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 11:57BOSDavid Pastrnak: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 17:48MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi: Interference2 min
- P2 17:48BOSSean Kuraly: Holding2 min
- P3 3:55MTLMike Reilly: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Marchand – Pastrnak11:13
xG 0.83–0.15 (84%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari9:25
xG 0.46–0.05 (90%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Backes – Nordstrom – Cave8:15
xG 0.28–0.21 (57%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Donato – Heinen – Forsbacka Karlsson10:04
xG 0.59–0.72 (45%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy11:26
xG 0.49–0.15 (77%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Krug – Carlo12:45
xG 0.32–0.20 (61%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Kampfer – Moore12:28
xG 0.85–0.75 (53%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Byron – Lehkonen – Kotkaniemi7:37
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Shaw – Drouin – Domi11:06
xG 0.10–0.38 (21%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Chaput – Agostino – Peca5:49
xG 0.00–0.32 (0%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Tatar – Gallagher – Danault10:12
xG 0.22–0.67 (25%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Petry – Reilly16:11
xG 0.70–0.71 (50%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Weber – Kulak14:41
xG 0.28–0.65 (30%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
- Schlemko – Juulsen12:23
xG 0.21–0.89 (19%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).