Tue, Dec 18, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Winnipeg Jets 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 011 | 19 | 08 | 128 |
| LAK | 110 | 212 | 19 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:00LAKAustin WagnerAssists: Daniel Brickley · Tip-in, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 1:52WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Bryan Little, Josh Morrissey · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 9:08LAKAlex IafalloGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 18:08LAKAustin WagnerAssists: Matt Luff · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 19:55LAKNate ThompsonENAssists: Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.68 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 15:02LAKJake Muzzin: Charging2 min
- P1 17:20WPGJosh Morrissey: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:59WPGConnor Hellebuyck: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:42LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P2 18:58WPGBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:26LAKAdrian Kempe: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Roslovic – Appleton5:58
xG 0.21–0.03 (87%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Perreault – Lowry – Tanev9:27
xG 0.40–0.36 (52%)attempts 12–11goals 0–2
- Little – Connor – Laine10:28
xG 0.52–0.48 (52%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers13:44
xG 0.49–0.78 (38%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Kulikov11:01
xG 0.67–0.22 (75%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Trouba – Morrissey16:59
xG 0.99–0.98 (50%)attempts 20–22goals 1–1
- Byfuglien – Chiarot14:31
xG 0.22–0.53 (30%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo11:45
xG 0.66–0.51 (56%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Thompson – Leipsic – Scherbak3:39
xG 0.18–0.06 (77%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Thompson – Amadio – Luff3:08
xG 0.06–0.11 (36%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Thompson – Leipsic – Amadio2:20
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort18:22
xG 0.53–0.43 (55%)attempts 10–16goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Walker13:06
xG 0.73–0.70 (51%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
- Fantenberg – Brickley12:03
xG 0.48–0.75 (39%)attempts 10–16goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).