Thu, Dec 20, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 05 | 110 | 015 | 130 |
| CBJ | 117 | 110 | 011 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:17CBJNick FolignoAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 1:15CBJCam AtkinsonGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.33 xG0–2
- P2 10:39NJDTaylor HallAssists: Kyle Palmieri · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 11:58NJDKyle Palmieri: Interference2 min
- P1 17:45NJDBrian Boyle: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:45NJDBrett Seney: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:45CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:15NJDDamon Severson: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 2:39NJDSami Vatanen: Holding2 min
- P2 10:57CBJZach Werenski: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:57NJDKyle Palmieri: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:49CBJBoone Jenner: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier6:11
xG 0.18–0.02 (91%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Wood – Zacha – Bratt2:23
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Johansson – Palmieri – Hischier4:06
xG 0.12–0.18 (39%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Wood – Quenneville – Zacha3:28
xG 0.14–0.28 (33%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVatanen – Santini4:48
xG 0.25–0.12 (68%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Greene – Santini2:13
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Butcher4:59
xG 0.16–0.09 (65%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDuclair – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg2:30
xG 0.51–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois12:40
xG 0.56–0.36 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Nash – Hannikainen8:56
xG 0.24–0.15 (62%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson2:20
xG 0.13–0.08 (64%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Jones16:44
xG 0.78–0.21 (79%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Savard – Werenski15:40
xG 1.14–0.84 (58%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Murray – Nutivaara2:00
xG 0.05–0.02 (68%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).