Sun, Dec 23, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 24 | 111 | 05 | 320 |
| NJD | 07 | 013 | 019 | 039 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:03CBJCam AtkinsonGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Murray · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 5:31CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Zach Werenski · Snap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 10:47CBJArtemi PanarinUnassisted · Backhand, 0.03 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 10:21NJDTravis Zajac: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:38NJDDrew Stafford: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:01NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:09CBJSeth Jones: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:29CBJArtemi Panarin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 7:36NJDKyle Palmieri: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 10:22CBJMarkus Nutivaara: Holding2 min
- P3 18:03NJDBrett Seney: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 18:03CBJSergei Bobrovsky: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Panarin – Dubois11:54
xG 0.68–0.38 (64%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Dubinsky – Nash – Hannikainen5:29
xG 0.24–0.06 (79%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson11:23
xG 0.18–0.62 (22%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
- Duclair – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg7:02
xG 0.25–0.93 (21%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Jones14:42
xG 0.52–0.36 (59%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Jones – Werenski2:01
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Murray – Nutivaara2:16
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBoyle – Stafford – Zacha6:07
xG 0.50–0.02 (96%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Quenneville – Seney – Bratt5:18
xG 0.35–0.10 (77%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier12:57
xG 0.37–0.29 (56%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Wood7:43
xG 0.32–0.35 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson14:43
xG 0.91–0.50 (65%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Butcher – Santini2:44
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Santini9:27
xG 0.63–0.54 (54%)attempts 12–10goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).