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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 27, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Colorado Avalanche 1, Vegas Golden Knights 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

1

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 73% of the time.

VGK winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:14Shot by Dries, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 3:17Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 6:01Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 7:18Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 7:56Shot by Stastny, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 8:10Shot by Merrill, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 9:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 9:36Reaves: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Carrier, Nosek · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  10. P1 9:42Goal by Compher (Rantanen, MacKinnon)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson · COL Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  11. P1 10:25Shot by Merrill, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 10:45Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 11:39Shot by Stastny, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 11:40Goal by Stastny (Tuch, Schmidt)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, McNabb, Pirri, Schmidt, Tuch · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  15. P1 13:02Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 13:41Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 14:06Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 15:16Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 15:54Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 16:06Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 16:22Shot by Pirri, saved by Grubauer
  22. P1 16:37Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  23. P1 16:55Shot by Holden, saved by Grubauer
  24. P1 18:09Shot by Schmidt, saved by Grubauer
  25. P1 18:20Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 18:34Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  27. P1 18:44Shot by Cole, saved by Fleury
  28. P1 19:21Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Fleury
  29. P1 19:33Shot by Dries, saved by Fleury
  30. P1 19:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:19Shot by Schmidt, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 0:56Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 1:30Shot by Stastny, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 1:40Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pirri, Theodore, Tuch · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Barrie, Nemeth, Nieto

  37. P2 4:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 5:35Shot by Engelland, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 5:47Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 7:06Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 7:27Shot by Holden, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 7:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 7:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 8:34Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 9:00Shot by Cole, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 9:20Shot by Nosek, saved by Grubauer
  47. P2 10:45Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  48. P2 11:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 11:12Shot by Jost, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 11:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 12:06Lindberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Eakin, Lindberg, Schmidt, Carpenter · COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  52. P2 13:19Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer4v5
  53. P2 13:31Kerfoot: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Holden, Smith, Merrill, Karlsson · COL Soderberg, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Jost, Girard

  54. P2 14:21Shot by Eakin, saved by Grubauer5v4
  55. P2 15:03Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer5v4
  56. P2 15:04Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer5v4
  57. P2 16:39Shot by Schmidt, saved by Grubauer
  58. P2 18:50Rantanen: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pirri, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · COL Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  59. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:27Shot by Pirri, saved by Grubauer5v4
  62. P3 0:46Shot by Pirri, saved by Grubauer5v4
  63. P3 1:37Shot by McNabb, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 2:19Shot by Lindberg, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 2:24Shot by Merrill, saved by Grubauer
  66. P3 3:54Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 4:19Dries: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Reaves, Smith, Marchessault, Theodore · COL Cole, Bourque, Nemeth, Andrighetto, Dries

  68. P3 4:33Shot by Nemeth, saved by Fleury5v4
  69. P3 6:18Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer5v4
  70. P3 6:18Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer5v4
  71. P3 6:57Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 7:26Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 7:33Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Fleury
  74. P3 10:11Goal by Pirri (Stastny)+35 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Holden, Pirri, Merrill, Tuch · COL Johnson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, Girard

  75. P3 10:35Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  76. P3 10:53Shot by Lindberg, saved by Grubauer
  77. P3 12:06Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  78. P3 13:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 13:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 13:50Shot by Nemeth, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 14:00Lindberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Lindberg, Karlsson, Schmidt, Carpenter · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Barrie, Nemeth, Nieto

  82. P3 15:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury4v5
  83. P3 15:50Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Fleury4v5
  84. P3 15:57Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Fleury4v6
  85. P3 16:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury5v6
  86. P3 16:19Merrill: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Holden, Lindberg, Merrill, Nosek · COL Soderberg, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Jost, Girard

  87. P3 16:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury4v5
  88. P3 17:49Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury4v5
  89. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  90. P3 0:00Final5v6