Mon, Dec 31, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 0, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 012 | 09 | 04 | 025 |
| NJD | 27 | 06 | 210 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:03NJDBrian BoyleGWGAssists: Drew Stafford, Brett Seney · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 18:12NJDMiles WoodPPAssists: Sami Vatanen, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.08 xG0–2
- P3 1:31NJDSami VatanenPPAssists: Miles Wood, Damon Severson · Slap, 0.05 xG0–3
- P3 3:27NJDPavel ZachaAssists: Stefan Noesen, Steven Santini · Slap, 0.05 xG0–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:58NJDWill Butcher: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:06VANBo Horvat: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:18NJDDamon Severson: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:07NJDBlake Coleman: Elbowing2 min
- P2 19:46VANMarkus Granlund: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:52VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:52VANAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:15NJDBrett Seney: Delaying game bench2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeivo – Granlund – Baertschi6:16
xG 0.32–0.07 (81%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Roussel – Boeser – Pettersson8:38
xG 0.31–0.07 (81%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Horvat – Virtanen3:44
xG 0.07–0.04 (63%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Beagle – Motte – Virtanen5:07
xG 0.06–0.10 (40%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPouliot – Stecher15:09
xG 0.99–0.63 (61%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev13:29
xG 0.55–0.54 (51%)attempts 12–11goals 0–2
- Gudbranson – Hutton12:59
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Bratt – Hischier9:05
xG 0.49–0.03 (95%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Boyle – Stafford – Seney8:10
xG 0.49–0.30 (62%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Quenneville8:03
xG 0.08–0.18 (30%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Noesen – Wood – Zacha8:47
xG 0.39–0.62 (38%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLovejoy – Butcher8:04
xG 1.00–0.41 (71%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Butcher – Santini2:19
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Butcher4:24
xG 0.25–0.25 (50%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).