Sun, Jan 13, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 27 | 19 | 211 | 527 |
| CBJ | 219 | 312 | 29 | 740 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:34NYRRyan StromeAssists: Filip Chytil, Jesper Fast · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 5:08CBJArtemi PanarinAssists: Cam Atkinson, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 8:55CBJAnthony DuclairAssists: Markus Nutivaara, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P1 17:56NYRChris KreiderAssists: Boo Nieves, Alexandar Georgiev · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 14:00CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–3
- P2 17:49CBJLukas SedlakAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Riley Nash · Snap, 0.14 xG2–4
- P2 18:58NYRMats ZuccarelloAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Snap, 0.03 xG3–4
- P2 19:58CBJNick FolignoAssists: Ryan Murray, Josh Anderson · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–5
- P3 5:29CBJDavid SavardGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–6
- P3 15:00NYRMats ZuccarelloAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk · Backhand, 0.11 xG4–6
- P3 16:48NYRJimmy VeseyAssists: Brett Howden, Brendan Smith · Wrist, 0.26 xG5–6
- P3 18:14CBJNick FolignoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG5–7
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:38NYRNeal Pionk: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:15NYRRyan Strome: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:12NYRJesper Fast: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:36CBJNick Foligno: Interference2 min
- P2 6:56NYRMarc Staal: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:01NYRKevin Shattenkirk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 10:53CBJJosh Anderson: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:44CBJBoone Jenner: Delaying game smothering puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zuccarello – Zibanejad11:56
xG 0.47–0.41 (53%)attempts 13–9goals 2–1
- Fast – Strome – Chytil10:21
xG 0.42–0.46 (48%)attempts 10–15goals 1–1
- Namestnikov – Vesey – Nieves7:28
xG 0.07–0.29 (20%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- McLeod – Buchnevich – Howden5:36
xG 0.14–0.45 (24%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Smith11:53
xG 1.01–0.84 (55%)attempts 14–13goals 3–3
- Staal – DeAngelo12:32
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Skjei – DeAngelo2:11
xG 0.04–0.14 (21%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Panarin – Dubois14:15
xG 1.04–0.23 (82%)attempts 23–8goals 3–0
- Nash – Sedlak – Bjorkstrand5:20
xG 0.56–0.15 (79%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Duclair – Wennberg – Stenlund8:17
xG 0.04–0.09 (32%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson9:51
xG 0.46–1.08 (30%)attempts 9–15goals 2–4
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski15:10
xG 1.53–0.80 (66%)attempts 28–14goals 2–1
- Murray – Nutivaara10:51
xG 0.55–0.34 (62%)attempts 15–11goals 2–2
- Savard – Harrington12:09
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 6–11goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).