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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 14, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 80% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:56Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:08Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:13Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:43Shot by Dermott, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:42Shot by Hyman, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:47Zadorov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews · COL Soderberg, Barberio, Nieto, Compher, Zadorov

  9. P1 7:00Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 7:16Shot by Marner, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 8:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 8:53Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 9:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:49Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 12:45Shot by Girard, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 17:17Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 17:49Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 18:29Shot by Calvert, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 19:20Dermott: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Kadri, Nylander, Dermott, Ozhiganov · COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, MacKinnon

  21. P1 19:38Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen4v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:14Goal by Ozhiganov (Rielly, Matthews)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Ozhiganov · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Kerfoot, Girard

  25. P2 3:28Goal by Kapanen (Johnsson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · COL Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Kerfoot, Girard

  26. P2 4:16Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 6:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 6:33Goal by Landeskog (Barrie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · COL Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  29. P2 7:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 7:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 7:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 8:07Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 8:25Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 9:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 9:17Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 9:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 9:56Goal by Rantanen, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · COL Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  38. P2 10:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 12:09Shot by Rantanen, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 12:40Zadorov: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  41. P2 13:15Shot by Johnsson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  42. P2 14:29Goal by Soderberg, unassisted5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Kapanen, Marner, Matthews · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto

  43. P2 15:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 16:04Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 17:01Shot by Barberio, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 17:31Shot by Dermott, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 18:01Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 18:28Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 18:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 19:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 19:59Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  52. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 6:00Goal by Marner (Dermott, Matthews)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Ozhiganov · COL Barberio, Barrie, Andrighetto, Jost, Dries

  55. P3 6:20Hyman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  56. P3 6:20MacKinnon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  57. P3 6:48Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Varlamov4v4
  58. P3 7:12Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen4v4
  59. P3 8:42Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 9:08Shot by Johnsson, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 11:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 11:38Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 11:45Goal by Soderberg (Compher, Wilson)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Zaitsev · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Wilson, Compher

  64. P3 14:27Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 15:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 16:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 17:09Goal by Calvert, unassisted6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot

  68. P3 17:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 18:12Goal by Soderberg (Cole)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Nieto

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final