Mon, Jan 14, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 5, New Jersey Devils 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 313 | 214 | 532 |
| NJD | 111 | 514 | 216 | 841 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:50NJDBlake ColemanUnassisted · Snap, 0.23 xG0–1
- P2 3:07CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Dylan Strome · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 5:16NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Sami Vatanen, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 8:27NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Will Butcher, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.02 xG1–3
- P2 10:07NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Miles Wood, Blake Coleman · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–4
- P2 14:58NJDSami VatanenPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Damon Severson · Slap, 0.05 xG1–5
- P2 17:58NJDKevin RooneyGWGAssists: Drew Stafford, Brett Seney · Snap, 0.22 xG1–6
- P2 18:19CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Henri Jokiharju · Snap, 0.02 xG2–6
- P2 19:01CHIBrent SeabrookAssists: Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.14 xG3–6
- P3 8:10NJDBrett SeneyAssists: Jesper Bratt, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.28 xG3–7
- P3 8:48CHIDominik KahunAssists: Carl Dahlstrom · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–7
- P3 18:28CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome · Snap, 0.08 xG5–7
- P3 19:26NJDBlake ColemanENAssists: Travis Zajac · Backhand, 0.76 xG5–8
Penalties (12)
- P1 4:08NJDNico Hischier: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:43NJDBlake Coleman: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:36NJDBen Lovejoy: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:08CHIBrendan Perlini: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:01NJDBen Lovejoy: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:47CHIJonathan Toews: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P3 19:45NJDKevin Rooney: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:45CHIConnor Murphy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:45NJDKevin Rooney: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:45CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:45NJDBen Lovejoy: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:45CHIDrake Caggiula: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Saad – Strome11:56
xG 0.74–0.51 (59%)attempts 18–8goals 2–0
- Kruger – Perlini – Kampf2:02
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Kruger – Caggiula – Kampf7:06
xG 0.10–0.10 (50%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Caggiula2:14
xG 0.09–0.20 (31%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Koekkoek7:20
xG 0.33–0.14 (71%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Dahlstrom6:09
xG 0.46–0.38 (55%)attempts 11–5goals 3–0
- Seabrook – Koekkoek3:45
xG 0.05–0.20 (18%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Palmieri – Hischier12:21
xG 1.09–0.40 (73%)attempts 14–12goals 1–1
- Boyle – Stafford – Rooney9:30
xG 0.46–0.09 (83%)attempts 4–5goals 1–1
- Zacha – Seney – Bratt8:25
xG 0.48–0.20 (71%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Wood11:39
xG 0.63–0.62 (50%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestVatanen – Butcher12:43
xG 1.01–0.38 (73%)attempts 14–9goals 1–1
- Lovejoy – Mueller13:08
xG 0.87–0.34 (72%)attempts 11–11goals 2–1
- Greene – Severson14:57
xG 0.70–0.58 (55%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).