Wed, Jan 16, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Edmonton Oilers 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 212 | 07 | 06 | 05 | 1 | 330 |
| VAN | 15 | 16 | 09 | 02 | 0 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:35EDMJujhar KhairaSHAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 8:53VANBrandon SutterPPAssists: Ben Hutton, Markus Granlund · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 19:03EDMConnor McDavidPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
- P2 9:52VANMarkus GranlundUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Markus Granlund stopped
- 2. EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stopped
- 3. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 4. EDM Connor McDavid stopped
- 5. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 6. EDM Leon Draisaitl stopped
- 7. VAN Josh Leivo stopped
- 8. EDM Jujhar Khaira stopped
- 9. VAN Antoine Roussel stopped
- 10. EDM Alex Chiasson scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:00EDMConnor McDavid: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:02VANLoui Eriksson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:19EDMMatt Benning: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:19VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:19VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:39EDMLeon Draisaitl: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:01EDMCaleb Jones: Concealing puck2 min
- P2 17:39EDMDarnell Nurse: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:05VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McDavid won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestBrodziak – Kassian – Rieder6:20
xG 0.49–0.15 (77%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Draisaitl – McDavid14:27
xG 0.34–0.33 (51%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Lucic – Nugent-Hopkins – Yamamoto8:59
xG 0.22–0.32 (41%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Khaira – Cave – Puljujarvi5:07
xG 0.26–0.53 (33%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Benning8:49
xG 0.32–0.19 (63%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Larsson – Jones16:01
xG 0.47–0.69 (41%)attempts 14–12goals 0–1
- Russell – Nurse15:33
xG 0.18–0.58 (23%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeivo – Granlund – Schaller4:02
xG 0.69–0.18 (79%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Sutter – Roussel – Virtanen8:39
xG 0.35–0.14 (72%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Motte8:56
xG 0.06–0.06 (49%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Beagle – Roussel – Motte2:40
xG 0.04–0.05 (44%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Stecher13:57
xG 0.83–0.25 (77%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev14:20
xG 0.37–0.12 (75%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Pouliot13:27
xG 0.46–0.88 (34%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).