Sat, Feb 2, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
New Jersey Devils 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 19 | 04 | 111 | 13 | 327 |
| MTL | 18 | 118 | 012 | 01 | 239 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:22MTLJesperi KotkaniemiAssists: Artturi Lehkonen, Jordie Benn · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 19:16NJDWill ButcherPPAssists: Kyle Palmieri, Marcus Johansson · Slap, 0.25 xG1–1
- P2 16:33MTLPhillip DanaultAssists: Jeff Petry, Max Domi · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 11:26NJDNico HischierAssists: Kevin Rooney · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
- OT 1:56NJDNico HischierGWGAssists: Mirco Mueller · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:22MTLJordie Benn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 17:42MTLShea Weber: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:02NJDMiles Wood: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 14:25NJDKurtis Gabriel: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:10MTLJordie Benn: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:17NJDBlake Coleman: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestColeman – Wood – Bratt9:32
xG 0.21–0.05 (81%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Boyle – Gabriel – Rooney4:51
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Johansson – Palmieri – Hischier12:28
xG 0.43–0.50 (46%)attempts 9–18goals 0–0
- Stafford – Zacha – Seney6:32
xG 0.03–0.26 (10%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestButcher – Mueller13:19
xG 0.44–0.21 (68%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
- Santini – Mueller2:00
xG 0.15–0.07 (69%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Butcher – Yakovlev2:17
xG 0.02–0.02 (50%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Lehkonen – Kotkaniemi10:03
xG 0.53–0.19 (74%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Peca – Hudon7:48
xG 0.13–0.05 (73%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Gallagher – Danault – Drouin9:14
xG 0.33–0.33 (50%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Byron – Danault – Lehkonen2:15
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Mete14:46
xG 0.51–0.22 (70%)attempts 21–11goals 0–0
- Petry – Reilly12:13
xG 0.34–0.15 (69%)attempts 19–4goals 1–0
- Benn – Kulak14:48
xG 0.36–0.40 (48%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).