Sat, Feb 2, 2019·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Anaheim Ducks 3, Winnipeg Jets 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 04 | 29 | 116 | 329 |
| WPG | 614 | 210 | 17 | 931 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:07WPGAndrew CoppAssists: Mason Appleton · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 5:26WPGJack RoslovicPPAssists: Jacob Trouba, Connor Hellebuyck · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P1 12:04WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–3
- P1 15:18WPGBryan LittleGWGAssists: Dmitry Kulikov · Deflected, 0.12 xG0–4
- P1 16:33WPGJack RoslovicPPAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–5
- P1 17:41WPGBrendan LemieuxAssists: Andrew Copp · Wrap-around, 0.09 xG0–6
- P2 1:32ANANick RitchieAssists: Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–6
- P2 13:54ANADaniel SprongAssists: Nick Ritchie, Korbinian Holzer · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–6
- P2 14:42WPGTyler MyersAssists: Mason Appleton, Ben Chiarot · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–7
- P2 19:39WPGJack RoslovicPPAssists: Bryan Little, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–8
- P3 0:54WPGBryan LittleAssists: Ben Chiarot, Jack Roslovic · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–9
- P3 12:17ANADevin ShoreAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Michael Del Zotto · Deflected, 0.10 xG3–9
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:34ANAJakob Silfverberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:18ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:22ANADerek Grant: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:12ANADaniel Sprong: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 3:55WPGTyler Myers: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Getzlaf – Perry – Rakell14:36
xG 0.51–0.47 (52%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Grant – Ritchie – Sprong10:59
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 16–8goals 2–1
- Eaves – Gibbons – Rowney8:50
xG 0.23–0.55 (29%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Shore10:38
xG 0.32–0.66 (33%)attempts 7–9goals 1–3
Defence pairs
- bestHolzer – Del Zotto13:56
xG 0.86–0.52 (62%)attempts 17–12goals 2–2
- Lindholm – Montour16:31
xG 0.21–0.69 (23%)attempts 15–12goals 0–3
- Fowler – Manson17:23
xG 0.30–1.00 (23%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestCopp – Lemieux – Appleton9:12
xG 0.63–0.17 (79%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Perreault – Lowry – Tanev9:13
xG 0.29–0.21 (58%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Little – Roslovic – Laine10:27
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 6–11goals 2–1
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor13:38
xG 0.78–0.73 (52%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Chiarot14:53
xG 0.93–0.54 (63%)attempts 12–13goals 2–2
- Trouba – Morrissey14:40
xG 0.69–0.39 (64%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Morrow17:01
xG 0.75–0.80 (48%)attempts 14–22goals 3–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).