Tue, Feb 5, 2019·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
San Jose Sharks 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 114 | 06 | 116 | 12 | 338 |
| WPG | 15 | 115 | 06 | 01 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:08WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Josh Morrissey, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 10:54SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 0:52WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Tyler Myers, Brandon Tanev · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 2:35SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Kevin Labanc, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- OT 2:49SJSJoe PavelskiSHGWGAssists: Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:41WPGJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 16:12WPGTyler Myers: Holding2 min
- P2 8:13SJSEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:10SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:56SJSTomas Hertl: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 11:51WPGMathieu Perreault: Interference2 min
- P3 11:51SJSTimo Meier: Embellishment2 min
- P3 13:34WPGJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P3 18:25SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 1:20SJSKevin Labanc: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Couture – Meier11:01
xG 1.00–0.19 (84%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc8:08
xG 0.45–0.17 (73%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Kane – Donskoi – Hertl10:09
xG 0.16–0.47 (25%)attempts 7–20goals 0–2
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Gambrell6:29
xG 0.08–0.44 (16%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Dillon14:31
xG 1.16–0.38 (75%)attempts 24–13goals 0–1
- Burns – Vlasic2:15
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun2:15
xG 0.12–0.03 (81%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestPerreault – Lowry – Tanev9:40
xG 0.33–0.07 (83%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Copp – Lemieux – Appleton8:45
xG 0.13–0.16 (45%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Little – Roslovic – Laine10:01
xG 0.45–0.53 (46%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor9:59
xG 0.17–0.73 (19%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Morrow8:41
xG 0.71–0.23 (75%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Myers – Chiarot12:40
xG 0.34–0.26 (57%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Trouba – Morrissey3:32
xG 0.06–0.05 (57%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).