Thu, Feb 7, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Islanders 2, New Jersey Devils 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 19 | 07 | 09 | 03 | 1 | 228 |
| NJD | 111 | 08 | 011 | 01 | 0 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:32NJDKevin RooneyAssists: Kurtis Gabriel, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 13:42NYIMathew BarzalAssists: Ryan Pulock, Brock Nelson · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 2. NYI Jordan Eberle stopped
- 3. NJD Nico Hischier stopped
- 4. NYI Mathew Barzal stopped
- 5. NJD Drew Stafford stopped
- 6. NYI Brock Nelson stopped
- 7. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 8. NYI Josh Bailey scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 11:33NJDBlake Coleman: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:33NYIMathew Barzal: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:47NYIValtteri Filppula: Holding2 min
- P1 16:56NJDBen Lovejoy: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:59NJDBlake Coleman: Holding2 min
- P2 6:45NJDMirco Mueller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:08NYIRyan Pulock: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:01NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:06NYIJohnny Boychuk: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rooney won the faceoff against Cizikas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestBailey – Dal Colle – Barzal10:14
xG 0.49–0.15 (77%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Komarov – Martin – Cizikas2:14
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Filppula – Komarov – Beauvillier5:23
xG 0.04–0.13 (24%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas3:31
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMayfield – Pelech2:37
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Mayfield – Toews9:51
xG 0.15–0.15 (50%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Pelech – Pulock10:57
xG 0.56–0.64 (47%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestStafford – Zacha – Bratt4:14
xG 0.34–0.10 (77%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Johansson – Palmieri – Hischier9:57
xG 0.37–0.18 (67%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Bratt3:23
xG 0.20–0.09 (69%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Gabriel – Seney – Rooney6:19
xG 0.06–0.01 (84%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGryba – Mueller11:00
xG 0.44–0.22 (67%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher6:28
xG 0.21–0.02 (93%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Greene – Lovejoy2:52
xG 0.15–0.04 (79%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).