Tue, Feb 12, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 16 | 113 | 326 |
| BOS | 314 | 114 | 29 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:22CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Dominik Kahun, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 14:47BOSDavid KrejciPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 15:36BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Brad Marchand, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P1 18:59BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Danton Heinen, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–3
- P2 18:06BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: David Krejci, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–4
- P2 19:37CHIDuncan KeithAssists: Connor Murphy, Dominik Kahun · Slap, 0.02 xG2–4
- P3 4:48CHIErik GustafssonAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–4
- P3 7:18BOSPeter CehlarikPPAssists: Danton Heinen, Torey Krug · Snap, 0.25 xG3–5
- P3 15:42BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Brad Marchand, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:12BOSBrad Marchand: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 8:23BOSZdeno Chara: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:43CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:49CHIErik Gustafsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:42CHIConnor Murphy: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:02CHIJonathan Toews: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:16BOSSean Kuraly: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:53BOSNoel Acciari: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:53CHIJohn Hayden: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:42CHIDylan Strome: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Saad – Sikura2:43
xG 0.18–0.05 (80%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat5:54
xG 0.34–0.30 (53%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Kruger – Hayden – Sikura2:12
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Toews – Saad – Caggiula3:32
xG 0.14–0.23 (38%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook10:38
xG 0.52–0.23 (69%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Murphy2:44
xG 0.29–0.17 (63%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
- Murphy – Forsling2:17
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Cehlarik – DeBrusk8:56
xG 0.88–0.23 (80%)attempts 14–8goals 0–2
- Bergeron – Marchand – Heinen10:32
xG 0.88–0.26 (78%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Backes – Nordstrom – Frederic8:55
xG 0.35–0.17 (68%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari11:39
xG 0.31–0.22 (59%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Krug12:24
xG 0.87–0.15 (86%)attempts 15–5goals 1–1
- Chara – McAvoy16:33
xG 1.09–0.65 (63%)attempts 20–12goals 2–0
- Moore – Carlo11:28
xG 0.52–0.23 (69%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).