Wed, Feb 13, 2019·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 0, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 015 | 08 | 012 | 035 |
| ANA | 16 | 06 | 010 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:30ANAJakob SilfverbergGWGAssists: Devin Shore, Derek Grant · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 7:55VANJosh Leivo: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:55ANARyan Kesler: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:32VANJake Virtanen: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:11ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:11ANADevin Shore: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:11VANErik Gudbranson: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:22ANARyan Getzlaf: Interference2 min
- P2 1:30VANErik Gudbranson: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:30ANARyan Getzlaf: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:12VANBen Hutton: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:33VANJay Beagle: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:38ANANick Ritchie: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:10ANARickard Rakell: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – Horvat – Virtanen5:04
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 9–3goals 0–1
- Granlund – Gaudette – MacEwen2:26
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Horvat – Boeser – Pettersson2:59
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Roussel – Horvat – MacEwen4:13
xG 0.02–0.03 (41%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBiega – Pouliot9:55
xG 0.63–0.23 (73%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Hutton – Stecher16:56
xG 0.70–0.30 (70%)attempts 24–12goals 0–0
- Tanev – Gudbranson7:37
xG 0.20–0.45 (31%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Grant – Silfverberg – Shore10:11
xG 0.39–0.39 (50%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Rakell12:46
xG 0.26–0.39 (40%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Kesler – Rowney – Jones7:30
xG 0.25–0.42 (37%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Henrique – Ritchie – Sprong8:20
xG 0.00–0.36 (0%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm15:10
xG 0.92–0.29 (76%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Megna – Montour10:21
xG 0.19–0.13 (59%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Fowler17:00
xG 0.28–1.19 (19%)attempts 9–36goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).