Thu, Feb 14, 2019·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 2, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 214 | 010 | 019 | 243 |
| CHI | 113 | 215 | 28 | 536 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:14NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Brett Seney · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 16:42NJDTravis ZajacPPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.23 xG2–0
- P1 18:17CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Dylan Sikura, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 0:20CHIDrake CaggiulaAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 13:12CHIJonathan ToewsGWGAssists: Slater Koekkoek, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 13:36CHIArtem AnisimovAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Brandon Saad · Backhand, 0.20 xG2–4
- P3 15:15CHIBrandon SaadSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.29 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:31NJDNico Hischier: Holding2 min
- P1 15:31CHIBrent Seabrook: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:46NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:57NJDKevin Rooney: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:26CHIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:54CHIMarcus Kruger: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Bratt – Hischier5:28
xG 0.85–0.06 (94%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier4:39
xG 0.71–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Stafford – Seney – Rooney9:02
xG 0.62–0.33 (65%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Johansson – Zacha – Lappin2:40
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 7–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLovejoy – Butcher2:26
xG 0.71–0.06 (92%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Mueller11:46
xG 0.84–0.42 (66%)attempts 19–8goals 0–1
- Butcher – Santini13:33
xG 0.70–0.34 (68%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Saad – Sikura9:01
xG 0.35–0.15 (70%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Kunitz – Kruger – Hayden5:14
xG 0.45–0.51 (47%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Toews – Kane – Caggiula13:07
xG 0.36–1.12 (25%)attempts 11–14goals 2–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Kahun13:06
xG 0.53–1.48 (26%)attempts 10–22goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKoekkoek – Gustafsson9:55
xG 0.95–0.39 (71%)attempts 11–6goals 2–1
- Keith – Gustafsson2:38
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Keith – Murphy2:02
xG 0.16–0.14 (52%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).