Thu, Feb 14, 2019·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 19 | 18 | 19 | 01 | 2 | 427 |
| LAK | 19 | 117 | 19 | 03 | 1 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:22VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Troy Stecher, Bo Horvat · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 12:30LAKAustin WagnerAssists: Kyle Clifford, Derek Forbort · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 9:46VANBrock BoeserAssists: Adam Gaudette, Antoine Roussel · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 12:28LAKMichael AmadioAssists: Kyle Clifford, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P3 10:59LAKAlec MartinezAssists: Brendan Leipsic, Trevor Lewis · Slap, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 18:22VANAdam GaudetteAssists: Elias Pettersson, Alex Biega · Snap, 0.12 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Ilya Kovalchuk scored
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson scored
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. VAN Markus Granlund stopped
- 5. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 6. VAN Brock Boeser scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:44LAKTrevor Lewis: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 4:16VANBen Hutton: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:45VANAlex Biega: Holding2 min
- P2 15:48LAKAlex Iafallo: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:40VANErik Gudbranson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Roussel – Granlund – Gaudette3:39
xG 0.05–0.11 (30%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Motte2:13
xG 0.00–0.10 (3%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Beagle – Motte – MacEwen5:21
xG 0.20–0.38 (34%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
- Roussel – Boeser – Pettersson2:22
xG 0.02–0.23 (7%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gudbranson – Pouliot2:08
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Biega – Pouliot15:55
xG 0.68–0.81 (46%)attempts 18–14goals 0–0
- Hutton – Stecher20:00
xG 0.76–0.92 (45%)attempts 14–21goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo8:42
xG 0.40–0.10 (80%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Lewis – Toffoli – Leipsic4:16
xG 0.29–0.10 (74%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Lewis – Leipsic6:18
xG 0.20–0.15 (57%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Clifford – Amadio – Wagner6:47
xG 0.40–0.35 (53%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Walker10:21
xG 0.63–0.13 (83%)attempts 13–3goals 2–1
- LaDue – Fantenberg11:33
xG 0.77–0.37 (68%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Doughty – Forbort20:35
xG 0.97–1.07 (48%)attempts 18–21goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).