Sat, Feb 16, 2019·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 313 | 09 | 28 | 530 |
| CHI | 115 | 120 | 06 | 241 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:36CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: David Savard · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 16:14CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 16:31CBJArtemi PanarinAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P1 19:22CBJCam AtkinsonGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 19:26CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P3 0:12CBJArtemi PanarinAssists: Seth Jones, Ryan Murray · Tip-in, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 15:16CBJJosh AndersonAssists: Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–2
Penalties (2)
- P1 15:03CBJDavid Savard: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 8:15CHIDylan Strome: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Anderson – Duclair3:59
xG 0.72–0.27 (73%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Nash – Sedlak – Sherwood2:12
xG 0.07–0.02 (77%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Nash – Duclair – Sherwood2:51
xG 0.13–0.16 (45%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois15:20
xG 0.99–1.03 (49%)attempts 12–23goals 3–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Werenski18:27
xG 0.97–0.37 (72%)attempts 12–18goals 2–0
- Murray – Jones21:20
xG 1.48–1.09 (58%)attempts 20–21goals 3–0
- Harrington – Nutivaara12:13
xG 0.42–0.35 (55%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Saad – Sikura12:17
xG 1.03–0.53 (66%)attempts 17–7goals 0–2
- Kunitz – Kruger – Perlini6:52
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Kahun11:34
xG 0.43–0.64 (40%)attempts 11–12goals 0–2
- Toews – Kane – Caggiula17:04
xG 0.68–1.75 (28%)attempts 19–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKoekkoek – Gustafsson8:36
xG 0.42–0.24 (63%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Dahlstrom8:18
xG 0.44–0.33 (57%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Murphy – Koekkoek8:47
xG 0.32–0.29 (52%)attempts 9–3goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).