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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Minnesota Wild 4, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.

NYR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Andersson, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 2:48Shot by Chytil, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 4:00Shot by Greenway, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:48Shot by Hunt, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 9:27Shot by Bitetto, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 11:12Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 12:01Shot by Vesey, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 12:06Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 12:17Shot by Andersson, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 12:26Shot by Chytil, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 12:43Shot by Bitetto, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 13:12McQuaid: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McQuaid, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei · MIN Staal, Pateryn, Zucker, Brodin, Greenway

  15. P1 14:56Shot by Hunt, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 15:02Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  17. P1 15:04Goal by Spurgeon (Staal, Donato)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Zuccarello, Vesey, Pionk · MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt, Donato

  18. P1 15:52Shot by Brickley, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 17:04Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 19:44Shot by Staal, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 3:59Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P2 4:37Greenway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Namestnikov, Skjei, DeAngelo · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Greenway

  25. P2 5:06Goal by Buchnevich (DeAngelo, Strome)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Namestnikov, Vesey, Buchnevich, DeAngelo · MIN Suter, Fehr, Spurgeon, Foligno

  26. P2 5:22Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P2 5:31Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 6:20Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 7:18Shot by Fast, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 8:39Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 8:41Goal by Granlund (Pateryn, Parise)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Brickley, Andersson, Chytil, Pionk · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Granlund, Brodin, Brown

  32. P2 9:15Shot by Granlund, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 10:01Shot by Brodin, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 10:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 10:28Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 11:16Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 12:03Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 12:18Shot by Andersson, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 12:44Shot by Kreider, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 12:57Shot by Pionk, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 13:26Shot by Aberg, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 14:09Shot by Pionk, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 15:27Shot by Chytil, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 15:41Shot by Brickley, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 16:00Shot by Brodin, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 16:05Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 16:10Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 16:17Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 16:24Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 19:33Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:04Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 0:19Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 0:47Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 1:55Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 2:38Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 4:01Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Dubnyk
  59. P3 4:08Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 7:22Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 8:11Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 10:20Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 11:03Goal by Parise, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Namestnikov, Skjei, DeAngelo · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zucker

  64. P3 11:17Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 12:14Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 12:27Donato: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei, Vesey, DeAngelo · MIN Staal, Pateryn, Brodin, Donato, Kunin

  67. P3 12:59Shot by Vesey, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  68. P3 13:06Shot by Strome, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  69. P3 13:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  70. P3 14:07Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  71. P3 15:11Shot by Vesey, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  72. P3 15:35Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  73. P3 16:39Shot by Vesey, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  74. P3 17:23Goal by Greenway (Staal, Donato)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes, Fast, Zibanejad · MIN Staal, Bitetto, Hunt, Donato, Greenway

  75. P3 18:01Shot by Hunt, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 18:25Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 19:51Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final