Thu, Feb 21, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
San Jose Sharks 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 312 | 09 | 112 | 433 |
| PIT | 09 | 09 | 08 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:57SJSTomas HertlPPGWGAssists: Brent Burns, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 10:01SJSEvander KaneSHAssists: Brent Burns · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–0
- P1 13:19SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–0
- P3 16:51SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Erik Karlsson, Joe Thornton · Snap, 0.19 xG4–0
Penalties (18)
- P1 0:56PITJack Johnson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:37SJSBrenden Dillon: Cross checking2 min
- P1 11:55PITZachary Aston-Reese: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:50PITEvgeni Malkin: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:39PITZachary Aston-Reese: Holding2 min
- P2 19:39SJSEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:20SJSTomas Hertl: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:20PITTanner Pearson: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:24SJSMicheal Haley: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:24SJSBrenden Dillon: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:24SJSEvander Kane: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:24PITMarcus Pettersson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:24PITJustin Schultz: Game misconduct head coach0 min
- P3 15:24PITSidney Crosby: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:24PITTanner Pearson: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 15:26PITPhil Kessel: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:57PITKris Letang: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:47PITEvgeni Malkin: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Donskoi – Hertl11:55
xG 0.53–0.19 (73%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Couture – Meier10:58
xG 0.31–0.21 (60%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc5:59
xG 0.16–0.15 (52%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Haley – Goodrow – Karlsson7:44
xG 0.04–0.22 (14%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Dillon13:23
xG 0.37–0.18 (67%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Karlsson11:26
xG 0.29–0.22 (58%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Burns – Karlsson2:30
xG 0.05–0.04 (57%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- Cullen – Pearson – Simon3:06
xG 0.08–0.04 (65%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Crosby – Guentzel – Simon3:15
xG 0.02–0.01 (55%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Crosby – Rust – Guentzel10:28
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Malkin – Kessel – Aston-Reese12:44
xG 0.43–0.51 (46%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLetang – Dumoulin14:07
xG 0.47–0.08 (85%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Schultz – Pettersson2:58
xG 0.10–0.01 (89%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Ruhwedel – Pettersson9:33
xG 0.09–0.07 (54%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).