Sat, Feb 23, 2019·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Boston Bruins 1, St. Louis Blues 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 111 | 011 | 02 | 1 | 132 |
| STL | 19 | 07 | 07 | 06 | 2 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:15STLAlexander SteenAssists: Oskar Sundqvist · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 5:12BOSChris WagnerAssists: Kevan Miller, Torey Krug · Snap, 0.07 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. STL Tyler Bozak scored
- 2. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 3. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
- 4. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 5. STL Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 6. BOS Charlie Coyle scored
- 7. STL Alexander Steen stopped
- 8. BOS David Backes stopped
- 9. STL Robert Thomas stopped
- 10. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 11. STL Sammy Blais scored
- 12. BOS Danton Heinen stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 18:16STLColton Parayko: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:29BOSTorey Krug: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:28BOSCharlie Coyle: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:32BOSBrad Marchand: Holding2 min
- P3 11:57BOSBrandon Carlo: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Acciari won the faceoff against Sundqvist
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Coyle – Cehlarik9:39
xG 0.59–0.22 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari7:56
xG 0.53–0.31 (63%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Krejci – DeBrusk – Kuhlman11:45
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Heinen9:08
xG 0.16–0.15 (51%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy15:37
xG 0.78–0.17 (82%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo7:13
xG 0.52–0.03 (95%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug7:51
xG 0.54–0.15 (79%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestMacEachern – Sanford – Barbashev7:34
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Schwartz13:13
xG 0.19–0.30 (39%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Maroon – Bozak – Thomas10:32
xG 0.22–0.49 (31%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
- Steen – Sundqvist – Blais7:48
xG 0.10–0.63 (14%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Bouwmeester – Edmundson2:36
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Edmundson11:46
xG 0.55–0.67 (45%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Parayko – Dunn2:07
xG 0.04–0.21 (17%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).