Sat, Feb 23, 2019·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Los Angeles Kings 1, Florida Panthers 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 17 | 08 | 04 | 119 |
| FLA | 18 | 39 | 28 | 625 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:56FLAVincent TrocheckAssists: Evgenii Dadonov · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 13:59LAKDustin BrownUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 13:33FLAJonathan HuberdeauGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 18:16FLAAleksander BarkovPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Mike Hoffman · Snap, 0.21 xG1–3
- P2 19:22FLAKeith YandlePPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 6:14FLAJamie McGinnUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–5
- P3 6:42FLAIan McCoshenAssists: Troy Brouwer, Henrik Borgstrom · Slap, 0.04 xG1–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:36LAKSean Walker: Interference2 min
- P1 18:39LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:50LAKAlex Iafallo: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:27FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Interference2 min
- P2 16:36LAKDerek Forbort: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 18:00LAKOscar Fantenberg: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo11:07
xG 0.25–0.06 (80%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Kovalchuk – Carter – Lewis8:42
xG 0.12–0.18 (40%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Clifford – Amadio – Wagner9:53
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 3–4goals 0–2
- Toffoli – Leipsic – Kempe10:31
xG 0.16–0.38 (29%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Doughty – Forbort15:33
xG 0.21–0.21 (50%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Phaneuf – Walker13:00
xG 0.27–0.29 (49%)attempts 11–9goals 0–2
- Roy – Fantenberg14:15
xG 0.09–0.24 (28%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Trocheck – Hawryluk9:12
xG 0.31–0.08 (80%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Barkov – Vatrano11:40
xG 0.19–0.04 (82%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Sheahan – Malgin7:32
xG 0.10–0.09 (54%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Brouwer – McGinn – Borgstrom6:51
xG 0.09–0.08 (52%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrown – McCoshen14:27
xG 0.47–0.27 (63%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Yandle – Weegar8:40
xG 0.23–0.05 (81%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Pysyk – Weegar5:45
xG 0.06–0.00 (96%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).