Tue, Feb 26, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
San Jose Sharks 1, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 18 | 04 | 08 | 120 |
| BOS | 116 | 38 | 08 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:47SJSLogan CouturePPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–0
- P1 14:39BOSDavid KrejciPPAssists: Torey Krug, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 9:09BOSCharlie McAvoyGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Danton Heinen · Snap, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 9:46BOSJake DeBruskAssists: David Krejci, Marcus Johansson · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 12:28BOSBrad MarchandSHAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brandon Carlo · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–4
Penalties (18)
- P1 5:41SJSJustin Braun: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:58BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:29SJSTimo Meier: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 10:29BOSSean Kuraly: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:55SJSEvander Kane: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:55SJSEvander Kane: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:55BOSSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:54SJSBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:54BOSChris Wagner: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:25BOSJohn Moore: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:22BOSZdeno Chara: Elbowing2 min
- P3 3:22BOSZdeno Chara: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:22SJSEvander Kane: Instigator2 min
- P3 3:22SJSEvander Kane: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:22SJSEvander Kane: Misconduct10 min
- P3 3:51SJSEvander Kane: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 3:56BOSDavid Backes: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:56SJSMicheal Haley: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Couture – Meier6:54
xG 0.65–0.44 (59%)attempts 8–8goals 0–2
- Pavelski – Couture – Nyquist2:08
xG 0.21–0.24 (48%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Hertl – Meier2:28
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Haley – Goodrow – Karlsson6:08
xG 0.03–0.17 (15%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Simek8:33
xG 0.40–0.31 (56%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun2:09
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Burns – Vlasic4:27
xG 0.39–0.39 (50%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Johansson – DeBrusk10:40
xG 0.44–0.08 (85%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Heinen9:27
xG 0.70–0.58 (55%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Coyle – Wagner – Nordstrom2:16
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Backes – Coyle – Nordstrom6:58
xG 0.04–0.05 (43%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Carlo3:20
xG 0.58–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Krug – Carlo12:03
xG 0.59–0.31 (66%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Moore – McAvoy2:04
xG 0.30–0.05 (86%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).