Fri, Mar 1, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 6, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 28 | 19 | 37 | 624 |
| NJD | 09 | 212 | 112 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:53PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 14:16PHIJames van RiemsdykAssists: Ryan Hartman · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 4:25NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Kenny Agostino, Travis Zajac · Snap, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 8:49NJDJesper BrattAssists: Damon Severson, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.26 xG2–2
- P2 19:30PHITravis KonecnyUnassisted · Deflected, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 0:27PHISean CouturierGWGAssists: Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 6:33PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: Travis Sanheim, Jakub Voracek · Deflected, 0.07 xG5–2
- P3 16:12PHITravis KonecnyENAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Scott Laughton · Snap, 0.75 xG6–2
- P3 17:48NJDKevin RooneyAssists: Jesper Bratt, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.15 xG6–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:02NJDKurtis Gabriel: Boarding5 min
- P1 12:02NJDDrew Stafford: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:59PHIOskar Lindblom: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:39NJDKurtis Gabriel: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:57NJDSami Vatanen: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:57NJDDamon Severson: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:57PHINolan Patrick: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:57PHITravis Konecny: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLindblom – Konecny – Patrick3:14
xG 0.27–0.08 (77%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Couturier4:15
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 2–4goals 2–0
- Knight – Varone – Raffl10:50
xG 0.33–0.39 (46%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Laughton – Hartman8:47
xG 0.17–0.31 (36%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Gudas – Hagg13:43
xG 0.45–0.54 (46%)attempts 8–14goals 2–1
- Gostisbehere – Myers14:43
xG 0.22–0.49 (31%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Provorov16:33
xG 0.46–0.89 (34%)attempts 8–18goals 2–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Agostino – Coleman9:16
xG 0.83–0.31 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 1–2
- Lappin – Bastian – McLeod6:28
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Stafford – Bratt – Hischier10:19
xG 0.43–0.33 (57%)attempts 11–6goals 1–1
- Pietila – Gabriel – Rooney5:07
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson11:18
xG 1.17–0.19 (86%)attempts 16–4goals 3–2
- Greene – Yakovlev2:02
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Butcher – Yakovlev2:03
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).