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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 1, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Colorado Avalanche 3, San Jose Sharks 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 86% of the time.

SJS winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Donskoi, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 3:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones
  4. P1 4:18Goal by Sorensen (Burns, Thornton)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Nyquist, Sorensen, Simek · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Brassard, Compher, Girard

  5. P1 4:34Shot by Nyquist, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 8:14Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  7. P1 8:48Shot by Meier, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 8:55Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 11:00Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones
  10. P1 12:18Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 13:34Shot by Cole, saved by Jones
  12. P1 13:48Simek: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Goodrow, Karlsson, Simek · COL Cole, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  13. P1 14:08Shot by Karlsson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  14. P1 15:49Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones
  15. P1 16:16Shot by Nyquist, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 16:17Shot by Sorensen, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 16:33Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:24Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  21. P2 1:43Shot by Nyquist, saved by Varlamov
  22. P2 2:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones
  23. P2 2:35Goal by Meier (Pavelski)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Meier, Simek · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  24. P2 2:51Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 3:00Shot by Karlsson, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 3:04Shot by Goodrow, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 3:38Shot by Braun, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 4:51Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones
  29. P2 4:55Goal by Zadorov (Landeskog, Cole)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Vlasic, Nyquist, Sorensen, Heed · COL Cole, Calvert, Landeskog, Zadorov, Jost

  30. P2 9:21Shot by Donskoi, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 9:42Shot by Compher, saved by Jones
  32. P2 10:48Cole: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Heed, Meier · COL Cole, Wilson, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Dries

  33. P2 11:00Shot by Labanc, saved by Varlamov5v4
  34. P2 11:04Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov5v4
  35. P2 11:05Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov5v4
  36. P2 11:26Shot by Labanc, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 11:33Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones5v4
  38. P2 12:31Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones5v4
  39. P2 13:24Shot by Nyquist, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 14:40Shot by Donskoi, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 14:39Shot by Couture, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 17:45Shot by Couture, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 18:19Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 19:35Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 19:36Goal by Sorensen (Hertl, Labanc)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Dillon, Sorensen, Hertl, Labanc · COL Johnson, Calvert, Landeskog, Jost, Girard

  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:26Shot by Meier, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 0:54Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  50. P3 2:30Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 2:37Nemeth: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Haley, Goodrow, Karlsson, Simek · COL Wilson, Barrie, Nemeth, Andrighetto, Dries

  52. P3 2:43Shot by Couture, saved by Varlamov5v4
  53. P3 3:36Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov5v4
  54. P3 4:27Shot by Thornton, saved by Varlamov5v4
  55. P3 4:30Shot by Meier, saved by Varlamov5v4
  56. P3 4:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  57. P3 6:31Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  58. P3 6:46Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 9:32Dillon: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Braun, Haley, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson · COL Wilson, Calvert, Barrie, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  60. P3 10:07Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones4v5
  61. P3 10:08Goal by Rantanen (Landeskog, Kerfoot)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Hertl · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  62. P3 10:38Shot by Nyquist, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 10:59Shot by Jost, saved by Jones
  64. P3 11:25Girard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Braun, Couture, Dillon, Meier · COL Brassard, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen, Girard

  65. P3 11:45Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov5v4
  66. P3 12:39Goal by Pavelski (Labanc, Couture)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Hertl, Labanc · COL Soderberg, Cole, Zadorov, Dries

  67. P3 13:12Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  68. P3 13:27Goal by Girard (Landeskog, MacKinnon)+10 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Vlasic, Braun, Nyquist, Sorensen · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  69. P3 14:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  70. P3 15:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  71. P3 15:49Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 17:03Shot by Labanc, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 17:25Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Jones
  74. P3 17:49Shot by Couture, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 18:35Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final5v6