Sat, Mar 9, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 2, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 212 | 02 | 010 | 224 |
| NYR | 010 | 114 | 317 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:26NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Kenny Agostino, Michael McLeod · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 19:49NJDBlake ColemanPPAssists: Will Butcher, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.20 xG2–0
- P2 18:22NYRRyan StromeAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Vladislav Namestnikov · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 1:29NYRLibor HajekAssists: Chris Kreider, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 13:25NYRVladislav NamestnikovGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Brady Skjei · Slap, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 19:50NYRRyan StromeENAssists: Vladislav Namestnikov, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.69 xG2–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:54NYRRyan Strome: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:35NJDBlake Coleman: Holding2 min
- P1 14:16NJDMichael McLeod: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:32NYRPavel Buchnevich: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:32NJDEgor Yakovlev: Embellishment2 min
- P1 19:08NYRLibor Hajek: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:33NJDDrew Stafford: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:40NJDBlake Pietila: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 14:48NJDBlake Coleman: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Lappin – Anderson – McLeod2:36
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Stafford – Tangradi – Coleman2:14
xG 0.04–0.14 (21%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Pietila – Gabriel – Lappin3:38
xG 0.09–0.23 (28%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Pietila – Gabriel – Gignac2:20
xG 0.05–0.20 (20%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Greene – Severson10:33
xG 0.09–0.23 (29%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Santini – Yakovlev13:33
xG 0.22–0.62 (26%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
- Carrick – Butcher13:59
xG 0.36–1.38 (21%)attempts 9–21goals 0–3
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBuchnevich – Lemieux – Howden7:13
xG 0.63–0.10 (87%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Fast – Strome – Vesey4:01
xG 0.56–0.02 (96%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Namestnikov – Chytil8:54
xG 0.51–0.03 (94%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Namestnikov2:17
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHajek – Pionk11:34
xG 1.01–0.18 (85%)attempts 17–6goals 1–1
- Shattenkirk – Skjei11:12
xG 0.74–0.14 (84%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Smith – DeAngelo11:49
xG 0.40–0.15 (73%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).