Sun, Mar 10, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Boston Bruins 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 114 | 119 | 241 |
| PIT | 215 | 18 | 114 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:33PITNick BjugstadAssists: Patric Hornqvist, Dominik Simon · Wrist, 0.27 xG0–1
- P1 13:54PITJared McCannSHAssists: Teddy Blueger · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 4:32BOSDavid KrejciPPAssists: Danton Heinen, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
- P2 16:32PITJake GuentzelPPGWGAssists: Sidney Crosby, Marcus Pettersson · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P3 18:59BOSJohn MooreAssists: Charlie Coyle, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 19:39PITJared McCannENAssists: Jake Guentzel · Backhand, 0.60 xG2–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:41BOSPeter Cehlarik: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 9:01BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:07PITJustin Schultz: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 15:19BOSChris Wagner: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:12PITEvgeni Malkin: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:26PITJared McCann: Interference2 min
- P2 3:31PITZach Trotman: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 6:43BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 16:10BOSBrandon Carlo: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:33PITZach Trotman: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Acciari won the faceoff against Malkin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Coyle – Cehlarik6:33
xG 0.32–0.23 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Krejci – Cehlarik3:18
xG 0.12–0.13 (49%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Krejci – Nordstrom3:12
xG 0.06–0.10 (37%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Backes – Coyle – Kuraly2:22
xG 0.02–0.23 (6%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – McAvoy4:36
xG 0.25–0.05 (83%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Moore – Krug2:08
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Moore – Carlo3:58
xG 0.00–0.17 (2%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestHornqvist – Bjugstad – Simon4:40
xG 0.86–0.07 (93%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Malkin – Kessel – Blueger5:02
xG 0.45–0.03 (93%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Crosby – Guentzel – McCann8:31
xG 0.50–0.12 (81%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Cullen – Wilson – Blueger5:02
xG 0.27–0.09 (76%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Trotman12:11
xG 0.99–0.24 (80%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Johnson – Schultz12:12
xG 0.80–0.27 (75%)attempts 20–12goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Pettersson9:54
xG 0.58–0.32 (65%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).