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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

New York Islanders

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 85% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 2:00Shot by Leddy, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:59Goal by Athanasiou (DeKeyser)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Witkowski, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi · NYI Ladd, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier

  5. P1 4:03Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 5:38Shot by Vanek, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 7:12Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 8:12Shot by Toews, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 8:14Witkowski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Witkowski, Lashoff, Mantha, Larkin · NYI Bailey, Kuhnhackl, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  10. P1 8:48Shot by Leddy, saved by Bernier4v5
  11. P1 9:02Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier4v5
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier4v5
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier4v5
  14. P1 10:18Goal by Lee (Nelson, Toews)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Witkowski, Glendening, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Bowey · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Nelson, Barzal

  15. P1 9:53Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier4v5
  16. P1 12:00Shot by Mantha, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 12:02Beauvillier: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Witkowski, Lashoff, Mantha, Larkin · NYI Filppula, Kuhnhackl, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier

  18. P1 12:27Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier5v4
  19. P1 15:11Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 15:24Shot by Ladd, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 15:30Shot by Leddy, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 17:29Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 17:58Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Greiss
  24. P1 19:09Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss
  25. P1 19:26Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss
  26. P1 19:56Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:34Shot by Filppula, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 5:17Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 7:11Shot by Ladd, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 8:23Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 8:43Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 9:51Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  35. P2 9:57Goal by Athanasiou (DeKeyser, Bertuzzi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Hronek · NYI Komarov, Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Mayfield

  36. P2 11:07Barzal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin · NYI Ladd, Hickey, Lee, Toews, Barzal

  37. P2 12:02Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss5v4
  38. P2 12:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss5v4
  39. P2 13:41Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 15:44Shot by Filppula, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 15:46Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Athanasiou, Bowey, Bertuzzi · NYI Filppula, Bailey, Kuhnhackl, Pelech, Pulock

  42. P2 16:08Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier4v5
  43. P2 16:44Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 17:12Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 17:50Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 17:52Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 18:05Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 18:42Shot by Hickey, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 19:54Shot by Glendening, saved by Greiss
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  53. P3 1:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 2:32Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 3:07Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 4:37Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 5:07Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Greiss
  58. P3 5:33Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Greiss
  59. P3 5:58Shot by Helm, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 7:08Shot by Hickey, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 7:19Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 7:40Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 8:30Shot by Leddy, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 9:18Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 9:25Shot by Vanek, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 11:04Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 11:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Greiss
  68. P3 11:50Shot by Ladd, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 12:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 13:45Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 13:44Shot by Filppula, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 13:51Shot by Filppula, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 18:29Clutterbuck: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bowey, Bertuzzi · NYI Filppula, Ladd, Clutterbuck, Bailey, Pulock, Toews

  74. P3 19:55Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final