Sat, Mar 16, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 16 | 09 | 07 | 03 | 125 |
| BOS | 112 | 08 | 09 | 14 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:51BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Brad Marchand, David Krejci · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 16:52CBJMatt DucheneAssists: Markus Nutivaara, David Savard · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- OT 3:30BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
Penalties (3)
- P1 5:24CBJLukas Sedlak: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 15:55BOSCharlie Coyle: Interference2 min
- P3 3:05CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDuchene – Dzingel – Anderson14:34
xG 0.64–0.25 (72%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg8:18
xG 0.28–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Nash – Sedlak – Jenner9:10
xG 0.28–0.28 (50%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois14:58
xG 0.39–0.71 (35%)attempts 13–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Nutivaara20:18
xG 0.88–0.53 (62%)attempts 17–18goals 1–0
- Jones – Werenski20:55
xG 0.61–0.69 (47%)attempts 15–25goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Harrington10:42
xG 0.15–0.40 (28%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Heinen13:20
xG 0.73–0.35 (68%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Krejci – Coyle – DeBrusk14:35
xG 0.45–0.36 (55%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Backes – Nordstrom – Acciari6:30
xG 0.00–0.12 (2%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Carey – Wagner – Kuraly10:51
xG 0.22–0.58 (28%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy18:26
xG 1.17–0.57 (67%)attempts 27–15goals 0–0
- Kampfer – Clifton5:33
xG 0.12–0.05 (72%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Moore – Carlo5:26
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).