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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

New York Rangers 2, Minnesota Wild 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 89% of the time.

MIN winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Brodin, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 2:41Shot by Kreider, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 3:01Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 3:29Shot by Claesson, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 4:40Goal by Donato (Aberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Seeler, Hunt, Aberg, Donato · NYR Skjei, Vesey, Howden, Chytil, Pionk

  9. P1 5:47Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 6:00Goal by Zibanejad (Shattenkirk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Pateryn, Zucker, Brodin · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Claesson, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  11. P1 7:09Shot by Howden, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 7:45Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 8:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 8:50Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 11:27Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 12:49Shot by Seeler, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 12:59Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 13:01DeAngelo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Zucker, Seeler, Hunt · NYR Claesson, Vesey, DeAngelo, Howden, Chytil

  19. P1 13:28Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  20. P1 15:03Shot by Fiala, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 15:50Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 16:05Goal by Donato (Kunin, Zucker)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Donato, Kunin · NYR Shattenkirk, Claesson, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Chytil

  23. P1 16:57Shot by Aberg, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 17:06Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 17:05Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 17:35Shot by Seeler, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P1 18:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P1 19:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P1 19:07Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P1 19:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P1 19:54Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 1:10Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 1:45Shot by Brodin, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 2:33Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 4:14Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 4:51Goal by Staal (Fiala)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Seeler, Hunt, Fiala · NYR Skjei, Vesey, Howden, Chytil, Pionk

  40. P2 5:45Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 6:49Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 8:14Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 8:23Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 9:44Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 9:51Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 10:32Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 10:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 10:49Shot by Pateryn, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 11:14Shot by Aberg, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 12:48Shot by Pionk, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P2 13:24Parise: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Zucker, Seeler, Hunt · NYR Staal, Smith, DeAngelo, Andersson, Chytil

  52. P2 14:51Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  53. P2 15:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P2 17:48DeAngelo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Seeler, Hunt, Aberg, Donato · NYR Staal, Fast, Strome, Namestnikov, DeAngelo

  55. P2 19:17Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:09Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Dubnyk
  59. P3 1:37Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 2:34Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 2:54Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 3:40Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 4:39Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Dubnyk
  64. P3 4:44Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 4:57Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 5:34Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 5:35Howden: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Seeler, Hunt, Fiala, Greenway, Kunin · NYR Staal, Kreider, Vesey, DeAngelo, Howden

  68. P3 5:48Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  69. P3 6:06Goal by Spurgeon (Fiala, Parise)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala · NYR Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Skjei, Pionk

  70. P3 6:47Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 6:49Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 6:50Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  73. P3 7:36Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  74. P3 7:37Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin, Brown · NYR Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Lemieux

  75. P3 7:37Lemieux: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin, Brown · NYR Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Lemieux

  76. P3 8:56Goal by Buchnevich (DeAngelo, Skjei)4v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Pateryn, Brodin · NYR Strome, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo

  77. P3 9:29Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  78. P3 9:46Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  79. P3 9:57Fiala: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Foligno, Seeler, Hunt, Fiala · NYR Staal, Namestnikov, Vesey, Lemieux, Pionk

  80. P3 12:57Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  81. P3 12:49Shot by Lemieux, saved by Dubnyk
  82. P3 15:16Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 15:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  84. P3 15:39Shot by Brodin, saved by Lundqvist
  85. P3 15:44Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  86. P3 17:25Goal by Brown (Foligno, Fehr)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin, Brown · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich

  87. P3 18:58Shot by Claesson, saved by Dubnyk
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final