Sun, Mar 17, 2019·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vancouver Canucks 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 210 | 011 | 03 | 03 | 1 | 327 |
| DAL | 015 | 112 | 114 | 05 | 0 | 246 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:52VANTim SchallerAssists: Jay Beagle, Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 10:53VANTim SchallerAssists: Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser · Snap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 19:38DALJamie BennAssists: Valeri Nichushkin, Roman Polak · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 16:10DALTaylor FedunAssists: Alexander Radulov, John Klingberg · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. DAL Tyler Seguin stopped
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 3. DAL Alexander Radulov stopped
- 4. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 5. DAL Jamie Benn stopped
- 6. VAN Tanner Pearson stopped
- 7. DAL Roope Hintz stopped
- 8. VAN Josh Leivo scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 6:30VANJake Virtanen: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 4:58DALJohn Klingberg: Penalty shot holding on breakaway0 min
- P2 12:18DALJamie Benn: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:16VANTroy Stecher: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:03DALJamie Benn: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Faksa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeivo – Boeser – Pettersson12:57
xG 0.62–0.32 (66%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- Granlund – Virtanen – Gaudette6:06
xG 0.14–0.08 (62%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Beagle – Schaller – Motte9:54
xG 0.09–0.28 (25%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Pearson – Horvat10:38
xG 0.08–0.49 (14%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Sautner14:50
xG 0.66–0.38 (64%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
- Edler – Stecher2:20
xG 0.06–0.19 (23%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Brisebois – Stecher12:26
xG 0.22–0.38 (36%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRadulov – Benn – Seguin10:18
xG 0.66–0.23 (74%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Radulov – Seguin – Hintz2:46
xG 0.16–0.02 (89%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Faksa – Nichushkin10:53
xG 0.47–0.33 (58%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Janmark – Hintz – L'Esperance7:30
xG 0.17–0.05 (77%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPolak – Heiskanen7:57
xG 0.75–0.22 (77%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Klingberg – Heiskanen14:06
xG 0.42–0.18 (71%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Polak – Lindell9:26
xG 0.17–0.22 (43%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).