Mon, Mar 18, 2019·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 211 | 011 | 11 | 334 |
| CHI | 110 | 04 | 117 | 00 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:25CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 0:53VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 6:22VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–1
- P3 16:47CHIErik GustafssonAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
- OT 0:16VANBo HorvatGWGAssists: Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 5:23VANTim Schaller: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:55VANAlex Biega: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:49CHIMarcus Kruger: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 14:17VANBrock Boeser: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Pearson – Horvat12:13
xG 0.93–0.37 (72%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Leivo – Boeser – Pettersson14:46
xG 0.59–0.35 (63%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Beagle – Schaller – Motte7:56
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Granlund – Virtanen – Gaudette9:04
xG 0.01–0.26 (2%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrisebois – Stecher11:44
xG 0.90–0.30 (75%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Schenn – Sautner14:09
xG 0.48–0.45 (51%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Edler – Biega20:31
xG 0.58–0.56 (51%)attempts 17–19goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestPerlini – Strome – DeBrincat12:27
xG 0.47–0.35 (57%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Saad – Kahun7:25
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Kahun3:37
xG 0.03–0.04 (41%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Saad2:40
xG 0.02–0.13 (12%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Forsling2:03
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Murphy – Koekkoek14:56
xG 0.47–0.65 (42%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Seabrook – Forsling12:35
xG 0.31–0.53 (37%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).