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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Detroit Red Wings 3, New York Rangers 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Lemieux, saved by Howard
  5. P1 4:29Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:36Shot by Chytil, saved by Howard
  7. P1 4:49Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:02Shot by Witkowski, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 7:13Lettieri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Namestnikov, DeAngelo, Howden, Lettieri · DET Helm, Witkowski, Lashoff, Mantha, Larkin

  11. P1 3:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 7:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 8:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 8:02Shot by Vanek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  15. P1 8:16Shot by Mantha, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 10:20Shot by Lashoff, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 10:28Witkowski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Strome, Skjei, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Chytil · DET Helm, Witkowski, Lashoff, Mantha, Larkin

  18. P1 11:52Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard5v4
  19. P1 12:14Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard5v4
  20. P1 12:22Shot by Hronek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  21. P1 12:48Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 13:53Shot by Chytil, saved by Howard
  23. P1 14:34Shot by Hronek, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 14:58Shot by Lettieri, saved by Howard
  25. P1 15:15Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 15:36Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  27. P1 16:56Shot by Lemieux, saved by Howard
  28. P1 17:16Goal by Nielsen (Hirose, Lashoff)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Vesey, Gilmour, Andersson · DET Nielsen, Vanek, Witkowski, Lashoff, Hirose

  29. P1 17:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P1 18:56Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  31. P1 19:00Shot by Strome, saved by Howard
  32. P1 19:56Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  33. P1 19:03Shot by Gilmour, saved by Howard
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:47Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Howard
  37. P2 0:57Mantha: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Namestnikov, Gilmour, Howden, Lettieri, Pionk · DET Kronwall, Helm, Athanasiou, Bowey, Mantha, Larkin

  38. P2 2:48Shot by Bowey, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  39. P2 3:35Shot by Witkowski, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 3:48Shot by Lettieri, saved by Howard
  41. P2 4:30Goal by Athanasiou (de la Rose, Rasmussen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Strome, Skjei, Vesey, Chytil · DET Kronwall, Witkowski, Athanasiou, de la Rose, Rasmussen

  42. P2 4:47Shot by de la Rose, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 4:59Shot by Ehn, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 7:42Shot by Chytil, saved by Howard
  45. P2 7:42Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  46. P2 8:07Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 9:54Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard
  48. P2 10:17Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  49. P2 11:04Shot by Pionk, saved by Howard
  50. P2 11:57Shot by Andersson, saved by Howard
  51. P2 12:52Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  52. P2 13:04Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  53. P2 13:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  54. P2 13:59Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  55. P2 14:43Shot by Chytil, saved by Howard
  56. P2 15:07Shot by Mantha, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P2 15:25Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P2 17:24Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P2 17:46Shot by Hronek, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P2 17:57Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  61. P2 18:25Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P2 19:34Shot by Hronek, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P2 0:00Period end6v5
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:52Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  66. P3 2:49Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  67. P3 3:42Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 6:12Shot by Ehn, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 9:41Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Howard
  70. P3 10:06Shot by Mantha, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 11:18Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  72. P3 11:57Shot by Lemieux, saved by Howard
  73. P3 12:39Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 13:26Shot by Gilmour, saved by Howard
  75. P3 14:01Bertuzzi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo · DET Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Hronek

  76. P3 14:44Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Howard5v4
  77. P3 14:46Goal by Strome (Shattenkirk, Buchnevich)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · DET Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin, Hronek

  78. P3 16:59Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  79. P3 17:24Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  80. P3 19:06Goal by Athanasiou, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo · DET Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Ehn

  81. P3 19:49Shot by Pionk, saved by Howard
  82. P3 19:50Goal by Smith (Howden, Pionk)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Gilmour, Howden, Lettieri, Pionk · DET Lashoff, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek, Hirose

  83. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  84. P3 0:00Final6v5