Sun, Mar 24, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Vancouver Canucks 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 19 | 216 | 28 | 533 |
| VAN | 09 | 08 | 04 | 021 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:19CBJJosh AndersonGWGAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Adam McQuaid · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 0:56CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 6:02CBJRyan DzingelAssists: Josh Anderson · Backhand, 0.15 xG3–0
- P3 7:32CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Boone Jenner, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–0
- P3 10:54CBJJosh AndersonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG5–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:06VANLuke Schenn: Interference2 min
- P1 12:13CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:28CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:22CBJJosh Anderson: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:43CBJArtemi Panarin: Holding2 min
- P3 14:50VANAdam Gaudette: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestJenner – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg7:27
xG 0.99–0.11 (90%)attempts 13–2goals 1–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois10:45
xG 0.82–0.50 (62%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Duchene – Dzingel – Anderson9:31
xG 0.46–0.18 (71%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Nash – Hannikainen9:45
xG 0.19–0.02 (89%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Kukan11:57
xG 0.73–0.16 (82%)attempts 11–10goals 2–0
- Savard – Nutivaara15:44
xG 0.68–0.19 (79%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski15:58
xG 1.12–0.63 (64%)attempts 19–13goals 2–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Beagle – Granlund – Goldobin2:14
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Beagle – Granlund – Virtanen3:39
xG 0.02–0.13 (16%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Virtanen – Goldobin – Gaudette4:22
xG 0.03–0.23 (13%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Pearson – Horvat8:38
xG 0.29–0.51 (36%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Schenn – Sautner13:17
xG 0.16–0.53 (24%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Pouliot – Stecher14:09
xG 0.23–0.82 (22%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
- Edler – Biega14:58
xG 0.43–1.12 (28%)attempts 13–21goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).