Wed, Mar 27, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 3, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 110 | 06 | 27 | 323 |
| BOS | 113 | 19 | 410 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 16:29NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Ryan Strome, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
- P2 9:15BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 3:19BOSJake DeBruskAssists: David Pastrnak, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 5:43NYRRyan StromeAssists: Brett Howden, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–3
- P3 12:52BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Torey Krug, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 16:23BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand · Deflected, 0.18 xG2–5
- P3 17:12BOSCharlie McAvoyPPAssists: Zdeno Chara, Charlie Coyle · Snap, 0.06 xG2–6
- P3 19:56NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Vladislav Namestnikov, Tony DeAngelo · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–6
Penalties (14)
- P1 2:29NYRPavel Buchnevich: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 14:51BOSZdeno Chara: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 1:46NYRRyan Strome: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:12BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:58BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:29NYRLias Andersson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:29BOSPatrice Bergeron: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:29NYRLias Andersson: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:38NYRRyan Strome: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 15:03NYRVinni Lettieri: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 15:34NYRBrendan Smith: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 18:10BOSDavid Backes: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 18:10NYRLias Andersson: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:10BOSDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vesey – Andersson6:34
xG 0.43–0.07 (86%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Lettieri – Chytil8:32
xG 0.05–0.22 (18%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Buchnevich – Lemieux10:45
xG 0.05–0.38 (11%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClaesson – DeAngelo8:48
xG 0.39–0.11 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Gilmour – DeAngelo2:04
xG 0.02–0.02 (46%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Skjei9:11
xG 0.04–0.19 (17%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Wagner – Heinen4:06
xG 0.34–0.01 (96%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Backes – Nordstrom – Acciari8:51
xG 0.20–0.02 (91%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Heinen3:42
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak5:11
xG 0.13–0.04 (77%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKampfer – Clifton9:39
xG 0.40–0.17 (70%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Chara – McAvoy12:45
xG 0.59–0.44 (57%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Chara – Carlo2:30
xG 0.17–0.06 (73%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).