Thu, Mar 28, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 010 | 114 | 03 | 0 | 239 |
| VAN | 013 | 213 | 08 | 04 | 1 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:56LAKAustin WagnerAssists: Kurtis MacDermid, Michael Amadio · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P2 14:07VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 15:03VANBrock BoeserAssists: Quinn Hughes, Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 11:47LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 2. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 3. VAN Quinn Hughes stopped
- 4. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 5. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 6. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 7. VAN Tanner Pearson scored
- 8. LAK Alex Iafallo stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:01VANJay Beagle: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:15VANLuke Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:15LAKKurtis MacDermid: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:10VANJake Virtanen: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:02LAKCarl Grundstrom: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 15:10VANAlex Biega: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 3:24VANAlexander Edler: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo9:12
xG 0.42–0.12 (79%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Kempe – Grundstrom8:19
xG 0.51–0.31 (62%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Amadio – Wagner4:27
xG 0.24–0.10 (70%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Carter – Lewis – Clifford8:53
xG 0.29–0.51 (36%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort17:53
xG 0.82–0.38 (68%)attempts 18–15goals 1–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:10
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Martinez – Walker3:44
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBeagle – Granlund – Schaller2:08
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Beagle – Schaller – Virtanen2:41
xG 0.13–0.18 (42%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Leivo – Boeser – Pettersson13:51
xG 0.69–0.75 (48%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
- Spooner – Virtanen – Gaudette8:23
xG 0.11–0.17 (38%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Hughes11:38
xG 0.71–0.48 (59%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Edler – Biega17:41
xG 0.44–0.60 (42%)attempts 16–15goals 0–1
- Schenn – Hutton2:33
xG 0.07–0.28 (21%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).